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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 5/11/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates (17-15) at Cincinnati Reds (14-19)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, May 11, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

J Nicasio (3-3) (3.16) vs. A Simon (1-3) (9.85)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds +110 / Pittsburgh Pirates -120 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


Wednesday evening in MLB action at Great American Ball Park, we’ve got game two between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Cincinnati Reds in their early-week series.

On Monday in the opener, the Reds broke a 2-2 tie with a run in the bottom of the seventh and would hold on for a 3-2 victory and an early edge in the series.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 5/11/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Wednesday’s game, the Pirates will be rolling out right-hander Juan Nicasio in the starting role. Overall, it’s been a reasonably good season for Nicasio so far, as he’s carrying a 3.16 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP and a 3-3 record over six starts and 31.1 total innings of work. Nicasio allowed four runs (one earned) in 4.1 innings in his last appearance Wednesday against the Cubs juggernaut.

Helping out at the plate for Pittsburgh is the usual crew of big hitters. Starling Marte leads things with 44 hits, 19 runs and 14 RBI. Gregory Polanco has been pretty steady on 33 hits and 21 runs. Andrew McCutchen has tallied six homers and 22 runs, but is struggling a bit on a .248 BA. That said, McCutchen went 2-for-3 with a run on Monday.

The Reds will be giving the start to right-hander Alfredo Simon on Wednesday. Simon has had some rough times this year with a bloated 9.86 ERA and a 2.19 WHIP for a 1-3 record over five starts and 21 innings. Simon’s last start was encouraging, however, as he allowed three runs in 7.2 innings against the Brewers for his first win of the year.

Cincinnati’s batting order lacks consistency, but can certainly score runs in bunches. Zach Cozart has been solid on 33 hits and 19 runs, while Brandon Phillips has slapped six homers for 16 RBI and 16 runs. First baseman Joey Votto has struggled a bit with a .234 BA, but still has 20 RBI. Votto and Cozart each slapped solo home runs in Monday’s opener.

The Pirates are 6-2 in their last seven road games and 2-6 in their last seven against the National League Central.
Meanwhile, the Reds are 4-1 in their last five games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 but 1-4 in their last five game twos of a series.

I’ve got to go with Pittsburgh here, as I can’t trust Simon for much of anything--despite his decent performance his last time out. Nicasio should be able to keep the Reds hitters in check and pick up the victory.

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