Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds - 5/13/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds (14-20) at Philadelphia Phillies (20-15)
MLB Baseball: Friday, May 13, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
B Finnegan (1-1) (4.15) vs. J Hellickson (2-2) (4.91)
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -108 / Cincinnati Reds -102 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSPh, FSOH
Coming up early Friday evening, we’ve got the weekend series opener between the Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
The Reds played two games against the Pirates this week, winning Monday’s game 3-2 but dropping Wednesday’s matchup 5-4.
As for the Phillies, they’re coming off a three-game set in Atlanta. Philadelphia and the Braves split the first two games. Thursday’s rubber match took 10 innings to find a winner, but the Phillies managed to score three runs in the final frame for a 7-4 victory.
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Cincinnati will be trotting out left-hander Brandon Finnegan for Friday’s matchup. Over his seven starts this season, Finnegan owns a 1-1 record with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 39 innings. On Saturday, Finnegan got shelled in his last start, yielding three home runs in five innings against the Brewers.
The Reds have several big bats in their lineup. Zach Cozart has 33 hits on the season with 19 runs and 10 doubles. Brandon Phillips has managed 32 hits with 17 runs. Jay Bruce has a team-high 23 RBI with six homers. Joey Votto is also hitting pretty well with 20 RBI and 14 runs, but his BA sits at .234.
The Phillies will be turning to right-hander Jeremy Hellickson in Friday’s game. Hellickson has put up a 2-2 record over seven starts, resulting in a 4.91 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP in 36.2 innings. On Saturday when he last took the mound against the Marlins, Hellickson gave up three runs on eight hits in 5.1 innings.
The Phillies’ batting order has had its difficulties here and there, but does possess a few notable hitters. Odubel Herrera leads the way on 42 hits, 22 runs and 26 walks. Herrera was a perfect 4-for-4 on Thursday. Maikel Franco has put up seven homers and 19 RBI. Ryan Howard refuses to age on eight homers and 16 RBI, but is wrestling with a minute .176 BA. Howard had another tough day Thursday, going 0-for-3 with a run scored.
The Reds are 9-26 in their last 35 Friday games and 0-4 in Finnegan’s last four starts.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are 4-0 in their last four home games, but 3-7 in their last 10 Friday games.
I’m not terribly thrilled with either pitcher here, but I’ll give a slight edge to the Reds based on offense. The over seems like the most reasonable play, as long as the Phillies bats can keep up.