Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros - 5/14/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Astros (14-22) at Boston Red Sox (22-13)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 14, 2016 at 1:05 pm (Fenway Park)
C McHugh (4-3) (5.51) vs. C Buchholz (2-3) (5.90)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -139 / Houston Astros +129 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: RTSW, NESN, FS1
Early Saturday afternoon, Fenway Park will come alive once again when the Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox continue their extended weekend MLB series.
This will be game three of the set. In Thursday’s game one, Boston blew the doors off Houston with a rousing 11-1 victory. On Friday, the Red Sox scored five runs in the bottom of the second, but the Astros responded with six in the fifth and sixth innings en route to a 7-6 win.
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The Astros will be bringing out right-hander Collin McHugh to start Saturday’s game. It’s been a mixed bag for McHugh so far, as he’s got a 4-3 record in seven starts with a 5.50 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP across 34.1 innings. McHugh’s last start on Saturday against the Mariners was very good, though, with one run in seven innings.
Houston boasts a pretty impressive group of up-and-coming hitters in their order. Jose Altuve is out front with 49 hits, 34 runs, nine homers and 23 RBI. Altuve was on it again Friday with a 3-for-4 performance. Carlos Correa has also been good with 36 hits and 19 runs. Colby Rasmus’ BA isn’t that hot (.225), but he’s got seven homers and 28 RBI. Rasmus came up with a 1-for-4 line on Friday.
Over on the Red Sox side, we’ll be getting a look at right-hander Clay Buchholz. Over his seven starts and 2-3 record this year, Buccholz has put up a 5.90 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP in 39.2 innings of work. Monday’s start was a little sketchy, but Buchholz still picked up the win on four runs in five frames.
Boston has a really nice group of hitters from front to back in their lineup. Xander Bogaerts has been electric on 49 hits and 27 runs. Dustin Pedroia is also playing very well on 46 hits and 27 runs. DH David Ortiz is off to a tremendous start with his nine homers and 30 RBI. Ortiz couldn’t connect on Friday, however, with an 0-for-4 line that dropped his BA to .309.
The Astros are 4-1 in their last five game threes of a series, but Houston is 4-0 in McHugh’s last four starts during game three of a series.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 6-0 in their last six game threes of a series, and 7-1 in their last eight home games.
I’m not all that thrilled with Buchholz as a pitcher right now, but I’ll give a winning edge to Boston due to their recent success at Fenway. That said, given the powerful offenses here I like the over pretty well.