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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds - 5/14/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cincinnati Reds (14-22) at Philadelphia Phillies (22-15)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 14, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Tim Adleman (1-0) (2.45) vs. Aaron Nola (2-2) (3.13)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -135 / Cincinnati Reds +125 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Ohio

The Philadelphia Phillies can keep their name in the NL East race with a win versus the Cincinnati Reds.

The Cincinnati Reds couldn’t hold on to an early lead and their offense stalled in a 3-2 defeat at Philadelphia on Friday night. Reds starter Brandon Finnegan wasn’t sharp with all three runs plated on three hits and five bases on balls over four frames to absorb the loss. The Cincinnati attack consisted of four hits and a walk with Adam Duvall and Tyler Holt scoring unearned runs that gave the Reds a 2-0 lead. Rookie Tim Adleman will get his third career start for the Cincinnati Reds Saturday. Adleman earned his first win with a 5-1 win versus Milwaukee last time out with a homer accounting for the lone run over five innings.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds - 5/14/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Philadelphia Phillies overcame poor defense and iffy offense to knock off visiting Cincinnati and maintain their position in the National League East. Phillies starter Jeremy Hellickson saved the day with two unearned allowed on four hits while striking out nine through seven innings with two relievers holding serve. The Phils logged seven hits and walked five times with Tyler Goeddel ripping a two run triple with Hellickson driving in a run. Aaron Nola toes the rubber versus visiting Cincinnati in the second game of their series on Saturday. Nola comes off of a 6-5 win at Miami where he allowed three runs on six hits in six frames.

The over is 10-4 in Cincinnati’s last 14 Saturday games and the Reds are 23-52 in their last 75 road games while going  are 27-56 in their last 83 overall. The under is 7-2 in Nola’s last 9 on grass and is 7-2 in Nola’s last 9 starts overall. The over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. The trends favor the over but I’ll just go with Philadelphia… 

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