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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - 5/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (21-18) at Philadelphia Phillies (23-17)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, May 18, 2016 at 1:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

T Koehler (2-3) (5.14) vs. J Hellickson (3-2) (4.12)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -111 / Miami Marlins +101 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


Early Wednesday afternoon, the MLB is bringing us another matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.

This will be the finale in the three-game set. In Monday’s opener, the Marlins posted a 5-3 victory. On Tuesday, Philadelphia struck back with a 3-1 win that would even the series, despite getting out-hit by the Marlins 8-6.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - 5/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Taking the mound for the Marlins on Wednesday will be right-hander Tom Koehler. It’s been an up-and-down campaign for Koehler so far, as he’s got a 2-3 record, a 5.14 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP over seven starts and 35 innings. On Friday when he last took the mound, Koehler gave up one run in 5.2 innings for a no-decision against the Nationals.

Overall, the Miami bats have been pretty solid this season. Martin Prado has been very impressive with his 52 hits and .381 BA. Marcel Ozuna has blasted seven home runs with 20 RBI. Giancarlo Stanton is also swinging a big stick on a team-high 11 homers and 25 RBI. Prado, Stanton and Ozuna combined to go just 1-for-11 in Tuesday’s game.

On the Phillies’ side, we’ll be seeing right-hander Jeremy Hellickson take the mound on Wednesday. Across eight starts and a 3-2 record in 2016, Hellickson has put up a 4.12 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP in 43.2 innings of work. On Friday against the Reds, Hellickson managed a win on two unearned over seven innings on four hits.

Philadelphia’s offense has been a little spotty to say the least. Odubel Herrera is hitting well, however, with 48 hits and 25 runs. Maikel Franco leads the team with 23 RBI on 36 hits and has 12 runs. Herrera and Franco went a combined 0-for-8 on Tuesday. Ryan Howard has slapped eight homers with 17 RBI, but is struggling on his .174 BA this season and has been sitting in favor of the young Tommy Joseph, who went 3-for-4 on Tuesday.

The Marlins are just 1-4 in Koehler’s last five starts against the National League East, and 2-5 in Koehler’s last seven starts overall.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are 11-4 in their last 15 game threes of a series, and 4-1 in Hellickson’s last five starts against the National League East.

I don’t feel super-strong about it, but I like Hellickson and the Phillies to get the victory here. The offense might present a problem, but if Philadelphia can get the bats going we should see a win.

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