Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 5/20/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Atlanta Braves (10-30) at Philadelphia Phillies (24-17)
MLB Baseball: Friday, May 20, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)
Matt Wisler (1-3) (3.14) vs. Aaron Nola (3-2) (2.89)
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -160 / Atlanta Braves +150 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSCh, FSSO
Coming our way on Friday from Citzens Bank Park, the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies will be kicking off their weekend series.
The Braves are coming off a long four-game series against the Pirates this week. Atlanta dropped the first two games before taking Wednesday’s matchup 3-1. In the finale Thursday, Pittsburgh dominated Atlanta 8-2.
As for the Phillies, they tangled with the Marlins in a three-game series this week. Philadelphia dropped the opener and came back to win the next two games.
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The Braves will be bringing out right-hander Matt Wisler for the start on Friday. Over his eight games (seven starts) and 1-3 record, Wisler has posted a 3.14 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP in 48.2 innings. Last week in his most recent start, Wisler managed eight innings of three-run ball in a loss against the Royals.
The Atlanta offense is pretty tame these days, but they’ve had their moments. Freddie Freeman leads the way on 39 hits with 17 runs, 11 RBI and a team-high six home runs. Freeman came up empty on Thursday. Nick Markakis has put up 38 hits with 22 RBI, but Markakis couldn’t find a hit Thursday, either. Adonis Garcia has played well on 27 hits with eight runs and eight RBI, but is working on defense in the minors right now.
Over on the Phillies side, we’ll be seeing right-hander Aaron Nola. In his eight starts and 3-2 record this season, Nola has posted a nice 2.89 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP over 53 innings of work. Back on Saturday when he last took the mound, Nola logged seven innings with two runs (one earned) in a win over the Reds.
The Philadelphia offense isn’t quite that potent either, but we’ve got a few noteworthy names here. Odubel Herrera has 48 hits with 25 runs and a .333 average. Maikel Franco has 37 hits with seven homers and 23 RBI. Veteran Ryan Howard has eight homers and 17 RBI with a skimpy .168 BA.
The Braves are 0-8 in their last eight game ones of a series, and 0-4 in their last four Friday games.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are 9-20 in their last 29 game ones of a series, and 5-0 in Nola’s last five starts.
I really like the way Nola is pitching this year, and he should be able to tame the weak Braves offense. I’ll take Philly--and likely the under--here.