Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians - 5/21/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Indians (22-17) at Boston Red Sox (25-17)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 21, 2016 at 4:05 pm (Fenway Park)
T Bauer (3-1) (3.89) vs. J Kelly (1-0) (9.34)
The Line: Boston Red Sox -129 / Cleveland Indians +119 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: NESN, STOh
Fenway Park will be alive once again on Saturday afternoon as the Cleveland Indians and the Boston Red Sox pick up their weekend series.
This will be game two of the set. In the opener on Friday, the Indians managed four runs in the third inning on the way to a 4-2 victory. Cleveland out-hit the Red Sox 8-6 in that game.
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For Saturday’s game, the Indians will be trotting out right-hander Trevor Bauer. In his 10 appearances this year (four starts), Bauer has put up a 3-1 record with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 34.2 total innings.
The Cleveland lineup is a pretty deep crew. Francisco Lindor leads the team with 43 hits, 28 runs and 19 RBI to his credit. Jason Kipnis has 45 hits, 24 runs and 24 RBI. Kipnis launched a three-run home run in Friday’s game. Mike Napoli has been pretty good in 2016 with seven homers, 26 RBI and 24 runs. Napoli came up empty (0-for-5) in Friday’s game.
The Red Sox will be going with right-hander Joe Kelly for Saturday’s game. Kelly has three starts under his belt with a 1-0 record this year, resulting in a 9.35 ERA and a 2.77 WHIP. This is Kelly’s first start back after four weeks, as he’s been out with a shoulder injury.
The Boston lineup has been nothing if not consistent this season. Xander Bogaerts has exploded for 58 hits, 31 runs and 23 RBI. Dustin Pedroia is also hitting well on 50 hits, 30 runs and 20 RBI. The ageless David Ortiz has come up with 44 hits, 10 homers and 34 RBI thus far. That said, Ortiz came up empty 0-for-3 on Friday with two strikeouts.
The Indians are 1-4 in Bauer’s last eight starts against the American League East, and 1-4 in Bauer’s last six starts with five days of rest.
As for the Red Sox, they’re 6-1 in Kelly’s last seven home starts and 10-2 in Kelly’s last 12 starts overall.
Bauer is pitching fairly well this season, but I’ve got to go with the strong Red Sox offense at home here (despite Kelly’s bloated ERA). It may be a close game, but Boston should pull through.