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New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/21/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (18-24) at New York Mets (23-18)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 21, 2016 at 4:10 pm (Citi Field)

Zach Davies (1-3) (5.58) vs. J deGrom (3-1) (2.50)

The Line: New York Mets -225 / Milwaukee Brewers +207 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


Saturday afternoon at Citi Field, the Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Mets will be continuing their weekend series.

This will be game two of the three-game set. In Friday’s game one, runs were at a premium in a 3-2 game, as the Mets edged the Brewers. New York out-hit Milwaukee 7-3 in that one.

New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 5/21/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Brewers will be starting right-hander Zach Davies in Saturday’s matchup. In his six starts and 1-3 record this year, Davies has posted a 5.58 ERA with a 1.60 WHIP in 30.2 innings. On Sunday in his most recent appearance, Davies logged two earned in 6.1 innings against the Padres for a no-decision.

A quick glance at the Milwaukee lineup will show you who the big hitters are. Ryan Braun has a team-high 48 hits with 21 runs, seven homers and 28 RBI. Braun has been out of the lineup with back stiffness, however. Jonathan Lucroy has posted 42 hits with six homers and 23 runs. Chris Carter leads the team with 13 homers and 31 RBI. Carter slapped a two-run homer on Friday.

On the Mets’ side, we’ll be seeing right-hander Jacob deGrom for Saturday’s game. In six starts and a 3-1 record this season, deGrom has managed a 2.50 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP in 36 innings. It’s been a bit of a struggle recently with his mechanics, but deGrom still posted a respectable three runs on four hits in 6.1 innings Sunday against Colorado in his most recent start.

The New York batting order is chock full of potential. Asdrubal Cabrera has put up 42 hits with 13 runs and 12 RBI. Yoenis Cespedes is playing well on a team-high 13 homers and 33 RBI. Cespedes went 1-for-3 on Friday. Neil Walker has 10 homers with 20 RBI and 36 hits so far in 2016. Walker was 0-for-3 with a run in Friday’s game.

The Brewers are 8-20 in their last 28 Saturday games, and 3-9 in their last 12 against the National League East.
Meanwhile, the Mets are 5-1 in deGrom’s last six starts against the National League Central, and 7-3 in deGrom’s last 10 Saturday starts.

Both Davies and deGrom seem to be pitching pretty well right now, so the under seems a sensible play. I do like the Mets a little more in what should be a reasonably close game.

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