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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 6/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (25-29) at Philadelphia Phillies (26-28)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, June 4, 2016 at 3:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Junior Guerra (3-1) (3.47) vs. J Hellickson (4-3) (3.68)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -113 / Milwaukee Brewers +103 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


Over at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, the Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies will tangle once again on the diamond.

This will be game three of a four-game set. In Thursday’s opener, the Brewers took a 4-1 win. On Friday, the Phillies bagged a 6-3 win. Philadelphia scored all of their runs in the third and fourth innings in that one.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 6/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Saturday’s matchup, the Brewers will be wheeling out right-hander Junior Guerra. Over his six starts and 3-1 record this season, Guerra has posted a 3.47 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP in 36.1 total innings. On Sunday when we last saw him, Guerra logged four runs (three earned) in 6.1 innings for a loss against the Cardinals.

The top end of the Brewers lineup is pretty stacked with talent. Jonathan Villar has 59 hits with 30 runs and 22 RBI. Villar bagged a homer and two RBI on Friday. Ryan Braun is having a fine year on 57 hits with 23 runs and 33 RBI. Chris Carter has been the big swinger this year with a team-high 14 homers and 33 RBI, but has a tepid .226 BA. Carter went 1-for-3 Friday.

Countering for the Phillies on Saturday will be right-hander Jeremy Hellickson. In his 11 games and 4-3 record this year, Hellickson holds a 3.68 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP over 63.2 innings. On Monday, Hellickson logged seven innings of one-run ball against the Nationals, striking out eight in a no-decision.

There’s not a lot to get excited about in the Phillies’ batting order, but there’s some talent here. Odubel Herrera has 60 hits with 29 runs and 17 RBI. Herrera drew three walks with a run on Friday. Maikel Franco has 49 hits with nine homers and 29 RBI. Freddy Galvis has posted 49 hits with 22 runs and 19 RBI.

The Brewers are 4-1 in their last five game threes of a series, and 5-1 in Guerra’s last six starts.
Meanwhile, the Phillies are 14-6 in their last 20 game threes of a series, and 17-37 in their last 54 against the National League Central.

I like both Guerra and Hellickson here, so the under seems a prudent play. I’ll give Milwaukee a slight winning edge, however.

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