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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - 7/2/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Kansas City Royals (42-37) at Philadelphia Phillies (36-45)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 2, 2016 at 5:50 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

D Duffy (3-1) (3.24) vs. Aaron Nola (5-7) (4.65)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +118 / Kansas City Royals -128 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


Over at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday, the Kansas City Royals and the Philadelphia Phillies will be picking up their MLB series once again.

In Friday’s opener, the Phillies eked out a 4-3 victory, out-hitting the Royals 12-8 in the process.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals - 7/2/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Lefty Danny Duffy will be taking the mound for the Royals on Saturday. In his 25 appearances (nine starts) and 3-1 record, Duffy sits on a 3.24 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP in 66.2 innings of work overall. On Monday in eight solid innings against the Cardinals, Duffy got the win with six hits and two earned.

The Royals have some pretty enviable hitters in the meaty part of their order. Eric Hosmer heads the charge on 92 hits with 43 runs, 12 homers and 48 RBI. Alcides Escobar has put up 90 hits with 29 runs and 21 RBI. Lorenzo Cain has 83 hits with 39 runs and 39 RBI. Cain is currently on the DL with a hamstring issue, though.

The Phillies will be rolling out right-hander Aaron Nola on Saturday. In his 16 starts and 5-7 record this year, Nola holds a 4.45 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP in 91 innings. On Sunday in a loss to the Giants, Nola gave up five earned on 10 hits win 3.1 innings.

Philadelphia also has a few noteworthy bats in their lineup. Odubel Herrera has hit 90 times with 46 runs and 30 RBI. Herrera managed a homer in Friday’s opener. Cesar Hernandez has put up 70 hits with 25 runs and 18 RBI. Maikel Franco is sitting on 69 hits with 26 runs, a team-high 13 homers and 42 RBI thus far.

The Royals are 4-2 in their last six overall, and 6-2 in their last eight against a team with a losing record. Kansas City is also 2-6 in Duffy’s last eight road starts, and 5-2 in Duffy’s last seven starts during game two of a series.
As for the Phillies, they’re 2-6 in Nola’s last eight home starts, and 2-5 in Nola’s last seven starts during game two of a series. Philadelphia is also 0-4 in Nola’s last four starts overall, and 1-4 in Nola’s last five interleague starts.

Nola hasn’t gone over 3.2 innings in any of his last four starts, so I’ll have to side with Duffy and the Royals here.

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