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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins - 7/3/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (42-39) at Atlanta Braves (28-53)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 3, 2016 at 8:05 pm (Turner Field)

Adam Conley (4-5) (3.90) vs. Matt Wisler (3-7) (4.14)

The Line: Atlanta Braves +128 / Miami Marlins -138 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


Down at Fort Bragg Ballpark on Sunday, the Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves will be wrapping up their weekend series.

This will be the fourth game of the set. The two teams split the first pair of matchups, and on Saturday Atlanta scored seven runs in the sixth inning on the way to a rousing 9-1 victory.

Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins - 7/3/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


LHP Adam Conley will be starting for the Marlins on Sunday. In his 16 games and 4-5 record so far, Conley has produced a 3.90 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP in 87.2 innings overall. In his last start against the Tigers on Tuesday, Conley gave up five runs on five hits in 4.1 innings for a loss.

At the plate, we’ve got several notable Marlins hitters. Martin Prado has put up 96 hits with 35 runs and 27 RBI so far. Marcel Ozuna holds 94 hits with 50 runs, 17 homers and 47 RBI. Christian Yelich has hit 85 times with 38 runs and 39 RBI thus far for Miami. Prado, Ozuna and Yelich combined for just one hit on Saturday.

Right-hander Matt Wisler will be starting for the Braves on Sunday. Over 16 appearances (15 starts) and a 3-7 record so far, Wisler holds a 4.14 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP in 95.2 innings. On Tuesday against the Indians, Wisler put up nine strikeouts for a career-high, but settled for a no-decision on six hits and two runs.

Atlanta has some pretty noteworthy hitters at their disposal. Freddie Freeman has hit 88 times with 39 runs, 14 homers and 31 RBI. Freeman slapped a homer on Saturday. Nick Markakis isn’t too far behind on his 32 runs, 78 hits and 42 RBI. Adonis Garcia has hit 52 times with 20 runs and 22 RBI.

The Marlins are 6-1 in their last seven game fours of a series, and 4-1 in their last five Sunday games. Miami is also 1-4 in Conley’s last five Sunday starts, and 0-4 in Conley’s last four road starts.
As for the Braves, they’re 4-10 in their last 14 game fours of a series, and 2-6 in their last eight Sunday games. Atlanta is also 4-11 in Wisler’s last 15 starts, and 5-2 in Wisler’s last seven starts against the National League East.

I have to go with Conley and the Marlins here, and I don’t think it will be all that close.

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