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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers - 7/3/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers (43-38) at Tampa Bay Rays (33-47)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 3, 2016 at 1:10 pm (Tropicana Field)

M Pelfrey (2-7) (5.44) vs. C Archer (4-11) (4.76)

The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -152 / Detroit Tigers +142 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


Down at Tropicana Field on Sunday in MLB action, the Detroit Tigers and the Tampa Bay Rays will be wrapping up their series.

This will be the fourth and final game of the set. The Tigers took games one and two with a combined 20-9 score, and on Saturday Detroit eked out a 3-2 victory.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers - 7/3/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Tigers will be rolling with right-hander Mike Pelfrey in Sunday’s game. Over his 16 appearances (15 starts) this year, Pelfrey has put up a 5.02 ERA with a 1.74 WHIP in 86 innings. In his last start against the Marlins Tuesday, Pelfrey picked up the win but allowed 12 hits and four runs in 5.1 innings.

You don’t have to look too long to find the key hitters in the Detroit batting order. Ian Kinsler heads the way with 95 hits, 65 runs, 15 homers and 50 RBI. Kinsler slapped a solo homer on Saturday. Miguel Cabrera has hit 18 homers with 51 RBI, 92 hits and 47 runs. Nick Castellanos has hit 90 times with 39 runs, 14 homers and 43 RBI thus far.

The Rays will be countering with right-hander Chris Archer on Sunday. In his 17 starts and 4-11 record this year, Archer has put up a 4.76 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP in 98.1 innings of work. On Tuesday in another loss against the Red Sox, Archer gave up four earned on seven hits in 6.1 innings.

The Rays batting order is pretty sturdy overall. Evan Longoria is way out front on 87 hits with 45 runs, 18 homers and 45 RBI. Brad Miller holds 64 hits with 31 runs, 11 homers and 28 RBI. Logan Forsythe has put up 62 hits with 30 runs, six homers and 19 RBI on the year.

The Tigers are 5-1 in their last six game fours of a series, and 8-18 in their last 26 Sunday games. Detroit is also 0-4 in Pelfrey’s last four starts and 4-7 in their last 11 against a team with a losing record.
As for the Rays, they’re 5-2 in their last seven game fours of a series, and 2-5 in their last seven Sunday games. Tampa Bay is also 1-5 in Archer’s last six Sunday starts, and 0-4 in Archer’s last four starts overall.

With Archer struggling so badly right now, I have no choice but to go with the Tigers here.

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