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Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 7/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (35-45) at Washington Nationals (49-33)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 4, 2016 at 11:05 am (Nationals Park)

Junior Guerra (5-1) (3.25) vs. M Scherzer (9-5) (3.30)

The Line: Washington Nationals -215 / Milwaukee Brewers +199 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


Early Monday from Nationals Park, the Milwaukee Brewers and the Washington Nationals will be kicking off their series.

Milwaukee is coming off a series against the Cardinals this weekend. Milwaukee dropped the first two games by a combined 10-1 score, and on Sunday after a couple of rain delays, the Brewers fell 9-8. Milwaukee showed some life with four runs in the ninth but ultimately couldn’t bridge the gap.
As for the Nationals, they played the Reds in their last series. Washington won the first two games, and dropped the matchup Saturday. In the finale, the Nats took a rousing 12-1 victory to secure the series.

Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 7/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Brewers will be whipping out right-hander Junior Guerra in Monday’s game. Over his 11 starts and 5-1 record this year, Guerra has produced a 3.25 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP in 69.1 innings. Back on Wednesday against the Dodgers, Guerra put up eight scoreless and allowed just two hits.

The Milwaukee hitters are a pretty solid crew overall. Jonathan Villar has managed 87 hits with 40 runs, six homers and 30 RBI. Ryan Braun has put up 86 hits with 35 runs, 13 homers and 44 RBI. Braun went 4-for-5 on Sunday. Chris Carter leads the team in home runs with 20, and RBI with 49, while maintaining 64 hits and 39 runs.

For Monday’s game, the Nationals will be pulling out right-hander Max Scherzer. In his 17 starts this year with a 9-5 record, Scherzer has compiled a 3.30 ERA with a 0.96 WHIP in 114.2 innings total. On Wednesday against the Mets, Scherzer tossed 7.1 shutout innings with 10 Ks and two hits.

We’ve got several notable hitters in the Washington order. Daniel Murphy has put up 108 hits with 48 runs, 14 homers and 56 RBI. Wilson Ramos is sitting on 84 hits with 38 runs, 13 homers and 46 RBI. Ramos bagged a homer in Sunday’s game. Anthony Rendon holds 77 hits with 52 runs and 31 RBI this year.

The Brewers are 4-1 in their last five against the National League East, and 2-5 in their last seven game ones of a series. Milwaukee is also 1-7 in their last eight road games, and 5-0 in Guerra’s last five road starts.
As for the Nationals, they’re 6-2 in their last eight game ones of a series, and 9-3 in their last 12 Monday games. Washington is also 6-1 in their last seven games against a right-handed starter and 7-1 in their last eight home games.

Guerra is rolling right now, so I’ll take the Brewers to bag a win in the opener behind his arm.

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