Reds at Cubs - 7/6/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cincinnati Reds (31-54) at Chicago Cubs (52-31)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 6, 2016 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)
A DeSclafani (2-0) (1.78) vs. A Warren (2-1) (3.51)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -173 / Cincinnati Reds +163 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs play a rubber game early Wednesday afternoon.
The Cincinnati Reds could use a win after losing 10 of their last 13 games. The Reds have allowed 27 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 13 games. The Cincinnati Reds have an ERA of 5.53 and have lost six of their last eight games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Jay Bruce leads Cincinnati with 82 hits, Zack Cozart has 37 RBI and Adam Duvall has 22 home runs. Anthony DeSclafani gets the nod, and he’s 2-0 with a 1.78 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. DeSclafani is 1-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 35 strikeouts in his career against the Cubs.
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The Chicago Cubs could use a win after losing five of their last six games. The Cubs have scored 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last 12 games. The Chicago Cubs offense has been consistent this season, and they’ve won five of their last seven games when scoring more than three runs. Kris Bryant leads Chicago with 87 hits, Ben Zobrist has 43 RBI and Anthony Rizzo has 20 home runs. Adam Warren takes the hill, and he’s 3-1 with a 4.56 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. Warren is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and two strikeouts in his career against the Reds.
The Reds are 1-7 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series and 1-6 in DeSclafanis last 7 road starts. The Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games and 51-21 in their last 72 home games. The Reds are 0-4 in DeSclafanis last 4 starts vs. Cubs.
We hit yesterday with a monster underdog in the Reds, as they closed around +300 at some books. The Cubs are too banged up and playing too inconsistent right now to continue to give them these monster lines. So, like Tuesday, I'm going to back the Reds given the value.