2016 MLB All Star Home Run Derby - 7/11/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Home Run Derby
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 11, 2016 at 8:00 pm (Petco Park)
the Line -- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The 2016 home run derby will take place on Monday at Petco Park in San Diego. This park is rather small when you compare it to other parks, as centerfield is the furthest it gets at 396 feet, so we should see a lot of bombs.
The betting lines are out for this event, so let’s take a look at the participants and try to make some money during the All Star break.
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Mark Trumbo, Baltimore - Mark Trumbo leads the way with 28 homers and has hit five in the month of July alone. Trumbo heads into the event on fire to say the least. Trumbo has one home run in 54 plate appearances at Petco Park. Trumbo comes with odds of +400.
Todd Frazier, Chicago - Todd Frazier has 25 homers and has hit nine of them since the beginning of June. Of course, Frazier is the defending champion having won this event last year. Frazier has two home runs in 51 plate appearances at Petco Park. Frazier has odds of +470.
Adam Duvall, Cincinnati - Adam Duvall has 23 bombs this season and has hit 10 of those since June. Duvall has come out of nowhere in terms of power, as he had just eight homers in his first 55 games. Duvall has never hit in Petco Park. Duvall has odds of +600 to win the tournament.
Robinson Cano, Seattle - Robinson Cano has 20 homers on the season but just five since June. However, you can’t overlook this participant considering Cano was a home run derby champion back in 2011. Cano has two home runs in 39 plate appearances at Petco Park. Cano comes with odds of +810.
Giancarlo Stanton, Miami - Giancarlo Stanton has 20 homers on the season and five of those have come in July. Stanton also has the most power by far of any player in this event and possibly the sport overall. Stanton has five home runs in 60 plate appearances at Petco Park. Stanton has odds of +370 to win this event.
Wil Myers, San Diego - Wil Myers has 19 home runs on the season and hit 11 of them in the month of June. Of course, Myers will have an extra boost of confidence with the home crowd cheering him on. Myers has 16 home runs in 335 plate appearances at Petco Park. Myers has odds of +600 to win this event.
Carlos Gonzalez, Colorado - Carlos Gonzalez has 18 homers on the season, but has yet to hit a bomb this month. Gonzalez has a lot of experience playing in San Diego, so he should be very comfortable in this park, giving him an advantage over others. Gonzalez has six home runs in 210 plate appearances at Petco Park. Gonzalez comes with odds of +700 to win this event.
Corey Seager, Los Angeles - Corey Seager has 17 home runs this season and hit eight of them in the month of June. Seager has 21 career homers in under 450 at bats, so the 22-year-old clearly has some pop that can’t be underestimated. Seager has zero home runs in 49 plate appearances at Petco Park. Seager has odds of +800 to win this event.
Nobody in this event has more power than Stanton, and the fact you get more time if you hit a bomb of 440 feet or greater, the Marlin could be hitting for a very long time. The best power hitter doesn’t always win these events, but there’s no doubting that he should win the derby if him and his pitcher are on the same page.
I’ll also take a long shot on Cano considering he he’s won the derby once and knows how you have to pace yourself if he hopes to walk away with the trophy. Cano also has by far more power than he’s shown lately.
Good luck out there.