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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 7/16/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Milwaukee Brewers (38-49) at Cincinnati Reds (32-57)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 16, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

J Nelson (5-7) (3.53) vs. John Lamb (1-6) (5.29)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -105 / Milwaukee Brewers -105 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds


Over at Great American Ball Park on Saturday, the Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds will be continuing their MLB series.

This will be game two of the set. In Friday’s opener, the Reds eked out a 5-4 victory.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 7/16/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Saturday’s game, the Brewers will be bringing out right-hander Jimmy Nelson. In his 18 starts this year alongside a 5-7 record, Nelson has put up a 3.62 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP in 107 innings. In his last start against the Cardinals, Nelson put up six innings with six hits and two runs in a no-decision.

The Brewers have a pretty good setup atop their order. Jonathan Villar is up top with 97 hits, 45 runs and 32 RBI. Jonathan Lucroy has put up 90 hits, 42 runs, 11 homers and 43 RBI. Ryan Braun has managed 89 hits with 35 runs, 13 homers and 44 RBI.

Lefty John Lamb will be taking the mound for the Reds on Saturday. In his 13 starts and 1-6 record, Lamb holds a 5.29 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in 68 total innings this year. In his last appearance, Lamb put up a loss in five innings against the Marlins on six hits and three runs.

The Reds have a few notable hitters on their roster as well. Jay Bruce sits atop the heap with 86 hits, 49 runs, 18 homers and 64 RBI. Brandon Phillips is playing fairly well this year with 84 hits, 39 runs and 34 RBI. Zack Cozart has put up 83 hits, 50 runs, 14 homers and 38 RBI so far.

The Brewers are 7-19 in their last 26 Saturday games, and 4-1 in Nelson’s last five Saturday starts. Milwaukee is also 1-6 in Nelson’s last seven starts overall, and 0-4 in Nelson’s last four road starts.
As for the Reds, 1-6 in their last seven game twos of a series, and 1-5 in Lamb’s last six starts against the National League Central. Cincinnati is also 1-8 in Lamb’s last nine home starts, and 0-4 in Lamb’s last four Saturday starts.

I’m not too keen on Lamb these days, so I’ll side with Nelson and the Brewers here.

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