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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - 7/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (48-42) at Philadelphia Phillies (43-50)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 18, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

J Fernandez (11-4) (2.52) vs. Aaron Nola (5-8) (4.88)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +185 / Miami Marlins -200 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


In MLB action from Citizens Bank Park on Monday, the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies will be kicking off their series.

The Phillies are coming off a weekend set against the Mets. Philadelphia dropped Friday and Sunday’s games by a combined 10-3 score, but did get a win on Saturday.
As for the Marlins, they just finished up against the Cardinals. Miami and St. Louis split the first two games, then on Sunday the Marlins took the series with a 6-3 victory.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins - 7/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


For Monday’s game, the Marlins will be wheeling out right-hander Jose Fernandez. In his 17 games and 11-4 record this year, Fernandez has put up a 2.52 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP in 107.1 innings. In his last start, Fernandez got a win against the Reds with seven innings, six hits and one unearned run.

Miami has a pretty enviable lineup of hitters at their disposal. Martin Prado leads things with 109 hits, 40 runs and 31 RBI. Marcel Ozuna has put up 101 hits with 54 runs, 17 homers and 49 RBI. Christian Yelich is up there too with 100 hits, 43 runs and 48 RBI thus far. Yelich had two hits, three RBI and a run on Sunday.

Over on the Phillies’ side, we’ll be getting another look at right-hander Aaron Nola on Monday. In his 17 starts and 5-8 record this season, Nola holds a 4.69 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP in 96 innings. It’s been a rough past couple of starts for Nola, as he’s coming off a loss to the Royals with six hits and five earned in five innings.

The Philadelphia batting order has a few bright spots in it. Odubel Herrera has hit 98 times with 50 runs, 10 homers and 33 RBI. Maikel Franco has put up 86 hits with 37 runs, 18 homers and 54 RBI. Freddy Galvis has just a .229 BA but also has 36 RBI, eight homers, 78 hits and 35 runs.

The Marlins are 5-1 in their last six overall, and 7-3 in their last 10 Monday games. Miami is also 5-0 in Fernandez’s last five Monday starts, and 38-16 in Fernandez’s last 54 starts overall.
As for the Phillies, they’re 4-1 in their last five against the National League East, and 11-4 in their last 15 overall. Philadelphia is also 6-20 in their last 26 Monday games, and 2-7 in Nola’s last nine starts against the National League East.

I don’t have a whole lot of faith in Nola these days, so Fernandez and the Marlins should take this one handily.

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