Reds vs. Braves - 7/18/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Atlanta Braves (32-60) at Cincinnati Reds (34-58)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 18, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
Matt Wisler (4-8) (4.47) vs. B Finnegan (4-7) (4.71)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -150 / Atlanta Braves +140 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
The Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds begin a three-game series early Monday night.
The Atlanta Braves could use a win after losing 10 of their last 16 games. The Braves have allowed 15 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 14 games. The Atlanta Braves have an ERA of 4.36 and have lost 10 of their last 12 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Freddie Freeman leads Atlanta with 95 hits, Nick Markakis has 47 RBI and Adonis Garcia has five home runs. Matt Wisler gets the nod, and he’s 4-8 with a 4.47 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. This will be Wisler’s second career game against the Reds.
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The Cincinnati Reds could also use a win after losing 10 of their last 15 games. The Reds have allowed 13 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 12 of their last 16 games. The Cincinnati Reds have an ERA of 5.48 and have lost 10 of their last 13 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Jay Bruce leads Cincinnati with 86 hits, Brandon Phillips has 34 RBI and Zack Cozart has 14 home runs. Brandon Finnegan takes the hill, and he’s 4-7 with a 4.71 ERA and 73 strikeouts this season. This will be Finnegan’s second career game against the Braves.
The Braves are 6-14 in their last 20 vs. National League Central and 5-12 in Wislers last 17 starts. The Reds are 1-5 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series and 3-12 in Finnegans last 15 starts. The Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.
Both of these clubs struggle because their pitching staffs get rocked. I have no strong feel for either side and I'm not laying heavy juice with the Reds. So, I'll take the over given that neither pitcher is good. However, the best play would be to leave this game alone.