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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners - 7/22/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Seattle Mariners (48-47) at Toronto Blue Jays (54-42)

MLB Baseball: Friday, July 22, 2016 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

J Paxton (2-4) (4.56) vs. M Estrada (5-3) (2.93)

The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -150 / Seattle Mariners +140 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


In MLB action from Rogers Centre on Friday evening, the Seattle Mariners and the Toronto Blue Jays will be kicking off their weekend series. 

The Mariners are coming off a three-game set against the White Sox. Seattle and Chicago split the first two games, but the Mariners eked out a 6-5 win on Wednesday to take the set. 

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners - 7/22/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Meanwhile, the Blue Jays just finished up against the Diamondbacks. Toronto won both those games by a combined 15-5 score. 

Pitching for the Mariners on Friday will be lefty James Paxton. In his nine starts and 2-4 record this year, Paxton has posted a 4.56 ERA with a 1.63 WHIP in 53.1 innings. His last time out, Paxton tallied a loss on five innings, nine hits and six runs against the Astros. 

As for the Seattle batters, it’s pretty easy to find the stars here. Team face Robinson Cano has put up 118 hits with 66 runs, 22 homers and 60 RBI. Kyle Seager is up there in the century club as well with 101 hits, 56 runs, 18 hits and a team-high 63 RBI. Nelson Cruz owns a team-high 23 home runs with 58 RBI, 98 hits and 56 runs to date. 

Over on the Blue Jays’ side, we’ll be getting another look at right-hander Marco Estrada on Friday. Across his 16 starts and 5-3 mark so far, Estrada has 104.1 innings containing a 2.93 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP. July 2 was the last time we saw Estrada, as he’s been wrestling with a back issue (one rotation turn missed). 

The Toronto bats are pretty powerful as well—that much is plain to see. Josh Donaldson is far out front on 110 hits with 85 runs, 24 homers and 70 RBI. Kevin Pillar holds 97 hits with 39 runs and 37 RBI on the season. Edwin Encarnation has managed 94 hits with a team-high 26 homers and a team-high 86 RBI in 2016. 

The Mariners are 4-0 in their last four against the American League East, and 5-1 in their last six  Friday games. Seattle is also 1-4 in Paxton’s last five road starts, and 2-8 in Paxton’s last 10 starts overall. 

As for the Blue Jays, they’re 8-1 in their last nine games versus a team with a winning record, and 8-1 in their last nine home games. 

Toronto is also 9-3 in their last 12 Friday games, and 7-2 in Estrada’s last nine starts. 

Assuming Estrada is good to go here, I don’t see too many reasons to pick against Toronto.

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