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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 7/27/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies (46-56) at Miami Marlins (54-46)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 27, 2016 at 12:10 pm (Marlins Park)

Zach Eflin (3-3) (3.40) vs. Adam Conley (6-5) (3.58)

The Line: Miami Marlins -168 / Philadelphia Phillies +158 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


In MLB action on Wednesday, we’ve got another installment of this week’s Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins match-up from Marlins Park. 

This will be game three of the set. In Monday’s opener, the Phillies secured a 4-0 victory. On Tuesday, it was the Marlins’ turn to shut out the Phillies 5-0. 

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 7/27/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Taking the hill for the Phillies on Wednesday will be right-hander Zach Eflin. In his eight starts and 3-3 record this year, Eflin owns a 3.40 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP in 50.1 total innings. In his last start, Eflin went a complete game against the Pirates, firing off nine innings with three hits and no earned for the shutout on 100 pitches. 

Helping things out at the plate for the Phillies, we’ve got some notable bats. Odubel Herrera has put up a team-high 108 hits with 56 runs, 11 homers and 36 RBI. Cesar Hernandez is sitting on 94 hits with 31 runs and 25 RBI so far. Maikel Franco holds 91 hits with 38 runs, 18 homers and 55 RBI to lead the team in that category. Franco came up empty 0-for-4 on Tuesday. 

As for the Marlins, they’ll be counting on lefty Adam Conley on Wednesday. In his 20 starts and 6-5 record so far this season, Conley owns a 3.58 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP in 110.2 innings of work. In a no-decision his last time out, Conley went six innings, giving up six hits with two earned against the Mets. 

Taking the swings for the Marlins, there are some definite solid players here. Martin Prado is out front on 119 hits with 43 runs and 35 RBI. Christian Yelich has put up 113 hits so far with 51 runs, 10 homers and 54 RBI. Marcel Ozuna owns 106 hits with 55 runs, 17 homers and 52 RBI in 2016. 

The Phillies are 5-11 in their last 16 game threes of a series, and 4-1 in Eflin’s last five starts. Philadelphia is also 4-1 in Eflin’s last five starts on grass, and 4-1 in Eflin’s last five starts following a quality start in his last appearance. 

The Marlins, meanwhile, are 1-5 in their last six Wednesday games, and 5-2 in Conley’s last seven starts. Miami is also 4-1 in Conley’s last five home starts, and 6-1 in Conley’s last seven Wednesday starts. 

This should be a good pitching matchup, but I’ll give the Marlins bats and Conley the advantage here.

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