Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 7/28/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies (46-57) at Atlanta Braves (34-66)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 28, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Turner Field)
Aaron Nola (5-9) (4.92) vs. Matt Wisler (4-10) (4.92)
The Line: Atlanta Braves +113 / Philadelphia Phillies -123 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
The Philadelphia Phillies look to shake off an ugly road loss against the Miami Marlins last night as they head into Turner Field to face off against the Atlanta Braves.
The Phillies took one on the chin last night as they were trounced by the Marlins to the tune of an 11-1 final and they will look to rebound on the road against a Braves side that is coming off two straight wins on the road against the Minnesota Twins. Philly started off the season defying the odds and playing their way into the NL East race but they have fallen on hard times and will likely become sellers at the trade deadline by weekend’s end with the most notable piece likely to be on the move being starting pitcher Jeremy Hellickson. The Phils will turn to youngster Aaron Nola in this one who has had an up and down season but does have some very good stuff and should be the favourite here as he faces off against Matt Wisler for the Braves.
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The Braves meanwhile have started to play some inspired baseball but they are well back in the NL East race and have been one of the worst teams in the league this season and they too could be moving some players over the weekend. Atlanta will likely hang onto their two franchise cornerstones in Freddie Freeman and Julio Teheran but if a suitor comes calling with a package that could send one of them out the door you can bet the Braves will bite as the former is owed a ton of money on a long contract and the latter has battled inconsistencies. Atlanta will aim for their 35th win of the year as they are 34-66 this season while the Phils are 46-57 but have lost seven of their last 10 games.
The Phils are 8-21 in their last 29 Thursday games, 0-7 in Nola’s last seven starts, and 1-4 in their last five overall while the Braves are 15-36 in their last 51 home games, 1-5 in their last six overall, and 10-23 in their last 33 at home against a righty. Neither of these teams seem to want to win this game based on statistics and trends but the Phils have the edge on the mound and I think Nola gets back on track with a victory here