Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros - 7/31/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Houston Astros (55-47) at Detroit Tigers (54-48)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 31, 2016 at 1:10 pm (Comerica Park)
D Keuchel (6-10) (4.63) vs. M Pelfrey (3-9) (5.30)
The Line: Detroit Tigers +136 / Houston Astros -146 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSDT, RTSW
On Sunday, the Houston Astros and the Detroit Tigers will be wrapping up their MLB July with another trip to Comerica Park.
This will be the third and final game of the set. In Friday’s opener, the Tigers crushed Houston 14-6, scoring a whopping seven times in the second inning. On Saturday, the Tigers squeezed out a 3-2 victory, with four of the game’s runs being scored in the ninth inning.
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Toeing the rubber on Sunday for the Astros will be lefty Dallas Keuchel. Over his 21 starts and 6-10 record so far, Keuchel owns a 4.57 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP in 134 innings. Keuchel put up a loss his last time out against the Yankees, giving up six hits and two earned in 7.2 innings of work.
Houston definitely has some talent at the plate to help speed things along. Jose Altuve has been on fire with 145 hits, 77 runs, 18 homers and 62 RBI. George Springer holds 106 hits with 74 runs, 22 homers and 60 RBI. Carlos Correa has put up 101 hits with 52 runs, 15 homers and 67 RBI in 2016.
Looking at the Tigers, they’ll be turing to RHP Mike Pelfrey on Sunday. Over 21 appearances (20 starts) and a 3-9 record, Pelfrey owns a 4.98 ERA with a 1.75 WHIP in 110.1 innings. In Boston his last time out, Pelfrey took a no-decision on five earned and six hits in five innings.
Now let’s check out a few of the Detroit hitters. Ian Kinsler has smashed 121 hits with 83 runs, 20 homers and 57 RBI. Miguel Cabrera is still going strong on 115 hits with 56 runs, 21 homers and 62 RBI. Nick Castellanos sits on 113 hits with 51 runs, 18 homers and 57 RBI so far. Kinsler, Cabrera and Castellans combined for just one hit on Saturday.
The Astros are 4-0 in their last four game threes of a series, and 6-1 in Keuchel’s last seven starts versus the American League Central. Houston is also 5-2 in Keuchel’s last seven starts, and 9-4 in Keuchel’s last 13 Sunday starts.
Meanwhile, the Tigers are 7-2 in their last nine home games versus a left-handed starter, and 5-2 in their last seven game threes of a series. Detroit is also 5-2 in Pelfrey’s last seven starts, and 4-1 in Pelfrey’s last five starts on grass.
Keuchel hasn’t allowed more than two earned in over a month, and I think he’ll get over the hump for a win here. Give me the Astros.