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Astros vs. Blue Jays - 8/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays (61-47) at Houston Astros (56-51)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, August 4, 2016 at 8:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

J Happ (14-3) (3.16) vs. M Fiers (7-4) (4.42)

The Line: Houston Astros +110 / Toronto Blue Jays -120 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Toronto Blue Jays and Houston Astros end their four-game series early Thursday night.

The Toronto Blue Jays look to stay hot after winning seven of their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have allowed four runs in their last three games and three or less runs in seven of their last 12 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have an ERA of 3.77 and have won seven of their last nine games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Josh Donaldson leads Toronto with 120 hits, Kevin Pillar has 45 RBI and Edwin Encarnacion has 29 home runs. J.A. Happ gets the nod, and he’s 14-3 with a 3.16 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Happ is 3-1 with a 3.50 ERA and 32 strikeouts in his career against the Astros.

Astros vs. Blue Jays - 8/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Houston Astros could use a win after losing seven of their last nine games. The Astros have scored four runs in their last three games and two or less runs in five straight games. The Houston Astros offense is ice cold right now, and they’ve lost six of their last seven games when scoring three or less runs. Jose Altuve leads Houston with 151 hits, George Springer has 60 RBI and Carlos Correa has 15 home runs. Mike Fiers takes the hill, and he’s 7-4 with a 4.42 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Fiers is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA and eight strikeouts in his career against the Blue Jays.

The Blue Jays are 7-0 in their last 7 during game 4 of a series and 18-5 in Happs last 23 starts. The Astros are 21-45 in their last 66 Thursday games and 6-2 in Fiers' last 8 starts. The Blue Jays are 4-13 in the last 17 meetings in Houston.

I don't trust Fiers at all and betting against Happ this season hasn't worked for anyone who has tried it. However, the Astros offense is too talented to stay this quiet much longer. It's only a matter of time before balls start leaving the yard again. I'll take a shot with Houston at home.

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