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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 8/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals (56-50) at Cincinnati Reds (43-62)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, August 4, 2016 at 12:35 pm (Great American Ball Park)

M Leake (8-8) (4.50) vs. B Finnegan (6-8) (4.68)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds +132 / St. Louis Cardinals -142 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


Coming our way on Thursday in MLB activity from Great American Ball Park, the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cincinnati Reds will be wrapping up their series. 

This will be the third game of the set. In Tuesday’s opener, the Reds managed a 7-5 victory. On Wednesday, the Cardinals hung on for a 5-4 win of their own. 

Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 8/4/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Taking the mound for the Cardinals on Thursday will be RHP Mike Leake. In 21 starts and an 8-8 record this year, Leake owns a 4.50 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP in 128 innings. His last time out in a win over the Marlins, Leake allowed six earned on seven hits in five innings. 

St. Louis definitely has some talent with their bats this year. Aldemys Diaz has put up 110 hits with 64 runs, 14 homers and 57 RBI. Stephen Piscotty holds 109 hits with 60 runs, 15 homers and 60 RBI. Piscotty nailed a solo homer on Wednesday. Yadier Molina is the veteran presence with his 95 hits, 38 runs and 31 RBI so far. 

Over on the Reds’ side, we’ll be getting a look at southpaw Brandon Finnegan on Thursday. Across 21 starts and a 6-8 record this year, Finnegan has put up a 4.68 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP in 117.1 innings. Taking a win over the Padres his last time up, Finnegan posted six innings with four hits and no earned in a nice outing. 

Cincinnati has a few noteworthy swingers in their order as well. Joey Votto has put up 103 hits with 66 runs, 18 homers and 54 RBI. Jay Bruce sits on 98 hits with 60 runs, 25 homers and 80 RBI. Zack Cozart has hits 98 times with 55 runs, 15 homers and 41 RBI this year. 

The Cardinals are 22-8 in their last 30 Thursday games, and 6-1 in Leake’s last seven starts versus a team with a losing record. St. Louis is also 5-1 in Leake’s last six starts in game three of a series, and 7-3 in Leake’s last 10 road starts. 

As for the Reds, they’re 4-1 in their last five game threes of a series, and 0-4 in their last four Thursday games. Cincinnati is also 2-7 in Finnegan’s last nine home starts and 0-8 in Finnegan’s last eight starts in game three of a series. 

I don’t have a whole lot of confidence in Finnegan, so I’ll go with Leake and the Cardinals for the victory here.

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