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Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 8/11/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals (59-54) at Chicago Cubs (70-41)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, August 11, 2016 at 8:05 pm (Wrigley Field)

C Martinez (10-7) (3.29) vs. J Lester (12-4) (2.93)

The Line: Chicago Cubs -168 / St. Louis Cardinals +158 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


In MLB action on Thursday, one of baseball’s greatest rivalries will pick up once again as the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs meet at Wrigley Field. 

The Cardinals are coming off a series against the Reds. St. Louis took games one and three of that set, but dropped Tuesday’s matchup 7-4. 

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 8/11/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Cubs, they just completed a short pair of games against the Angels. Chicago won both of those, and has now taken nine straight victories. 

Taking the hill for the Cardinals on Thursday will be RHP Carlos Martinez. In his 21 games and 10-7 record this year, Martinez has a 3.29 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP in 131.1 innings. In his last outing against the Braves, Martinez took a loss on seven hits with six earned in five innings. 

It’s pretty easy to pick out the hot Cardinals hitters. Stephen Piscotty has knocked 114 hits with 62 runs, 15 homers and 61 RBI. Aldemys Diaz owns 110 hits with 64 runs, 14 homers and 57 RBI. Yadier Molina, the veteran catcher, sits on 103 hits with 40 runs and 34 RBI. 

The Cubs, meanwhile, will be trotting out left-hander Jon Lester. Over 135.1 innings, a 12-4 record and 22 starts, Lester owns a 2.93 ERA and a great 1.09 WHIP. Lester got a win in his last time out, going seven innings in Oakland with six hits and two earned. 

Chicago doesn’t slouch at the plate, either. Kris Bryant heads the team with 119 hits, 85 runs, 28 homers and 70 RBI. Anthony Rizzo is sitting on 115 hits with 69 runs, 24 homers and 81 RBI. As for Ben Zobrist, he’s got 105 hits, 67 runs, 13 homers and 57 RBI to his credit so far. 

The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last seven game ones of a series, and 27-11 in their last 38 Thursday games. St. Louis is also 19-7 in Martinez’s last 26 road starts, and 2-6 in Martinez’s last eight starts with four days’ rest. 

The Cubs are 14-5 in their last 19 Thursday games, and 19-7 in their last 26 overall. Chicago is also 5-0 in Lester’s last five home starts, and 4-0 in Lester’s last four starts overall. 

I think this will be a lower-scoring game based on the pitching matchup, but I don’t think the St. Louis hitters have enough magic in their bats to overcome Lester. Give me Chicago.

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