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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 9/22/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies (68-83) at New York Mets (80-71)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 22, 2016 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Adam Morgan (2-10) (5.49) vs. Seth Lugo (4-2) (2.35)

The Line: New York Mets -176 / Philadelphia Phillies +166 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds


Over at Citi Field in Flushing on Thursday, the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets will be starting out their MLB series. 

Philadelphia is coming off a brief two-game set against the White Sox. Philly took game one 7-6, and on Wednesday Philadelphia made it a double with an impressive 8-3 win. 

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies - 9/22/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Mets, they played against the Braves this week. New York lost on Monday and Tuesday, then in the Wednesday finale the Mets lost a heartbreaker 4-3. 

Pitching for the Phillies on Thursday will be lefty Adam Morgan. In his 21 games (19 starts) and 2-10 record, Morgan holds a 5.49 ERA with a 1.46 WHIP in 103.1 innings. Morgan took a no-decision his last time out, bagging 4.1 innings with seven hits and one earned against Miami. 

It’s not too hard to spot the Phillies’ big hitters. Odubel Herrera has managed 156 hits with 82 runs and 48 RBI. Cesar Hernandez has hit 149 times with 62 runs and 37 RBI. Maikel Franco holds 134 hits with 58 runs, 22 homers and 79 RBI. 

Over on the Mets’ side, we’ll be seeing RHP Seth Lugo in the starting role Thursday. In his 15 games (six starts) and 4-2 record, Lugo owns a 2.35 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP in 53.2 innings. Lugo managed a no-decision against the Twins his last time out, with five innings, four hits and one earned. 

The Mets have some noteworthy bats in their order as well. Asdrubal Cabrera has hit 134 times with 61 runs, 21 homers and 52 RBI. Yoenis Cespedes sits on 126 hits with 65 runs, 30 homers and 81 RBI. Curtis Granderson has put up 115 hits with 76 runs, 28 homers and 52 RBI. 

The Phillies are 5-0 in their last five game ones of a series, and 11-23 in their last 34 Thursday games. Philadelphia is also 2-5 in Morgan’s last seven starts with five days’ rest, and 7-19 in Morgan’s last 26 starts. 

The Mets are 4-0 in their last four games versus a left-handed starter, and 1-5 in their last six against the National League East. New York is also 5-0 in Lugo’s last five starts and 5-0 in Lugo’s last five starts on grass. 

I like Lugo coming into this game, and I think he’ll control things well—even if the Mets have been a little unpredictable on offense lately. I’ll take New York here.

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