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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 9/30/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Mets (85-74) at Philadelphia Phillies (70-88)

MLB Baseball: Friday, September 30, 2016 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Robert Gsellman (3-2) (2.56) vs. Alec Asher (2-0) (1.66)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +139 / New York Mets -149 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


Over at Citizens Bank Park on Friday, the MLB is bringing us the opener of a series between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies. 

The Mets are coming out of a series with the Marlins this week. New York dropped game one, but came back to win the next two on Tuesday and Wednesday. 

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - 9/30/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


As for the Phillies, they just finished up against the Braves. Philadelphia dropped the first two games of that set, and on Thursday the Phillies lost again 5-2. 

Pitching for the Mets on Friday will be RHP Robert Gsellman. In his seven games (six starts) and 3-2 record this year, Gsellman has logged a nice 2.56 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP in 38.2 innings. Gsellman bagged a win his last time out against Philly with seven innings, three hits and no earned. 

The Mets have several capable bats in their lineup. Asdrubal Cabrera has put up 144 hits with 65 runs, 23 homers and 61 RBI. Yoenis Cespedes has put together 133 hits with 70 runs, 31 homers and 85 RBI. Curtis Granderson holds 125 hits with 85 runs, 30 homers and 59 RBI. 

Over on the Phillies’ side, we’ll be seeing RHP Alec Asher in the start Friday. Over four starts and a 2-0 record this year, Asher owns a 1.66 ERA with a 0.97 WHIP in 21.2 innings. Against the Mets his last time out, Asher logged a win with five innings, five hits and four unearned runs. 

It’s not hard to find the big hitters in the Phillies’ lineup. Odubel Herrera leads the way on 165 hits with 87 runs and 49 RBI. Cesar Hernandez has hit 157 times with 66 runs and 38 RBI. Maikel Franco has bagged 26 homers with 87 RBI, 142 hits and 64 runs for Philly. 

The Mets are 5-1 in their last six road games versus a team with a losing home record, and 4-1 in their last five Friday games. New York is also 4-1 in their last five games versus a right-handed starter, and 5-2 in their last seven overall. 

Meanwhile, the Phillies are 5-2 in their last seven game ones of a series, and 52-24 in their last 78 home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Philadelphia is also 4-9 in their last 13 home games versus a right-handed starter, and 3-8 in Asher’s last 11 starts. 

Despite the solid overall numbers, I don’t trust Asher much these days, and Philly really hasn’t been playing all that well lately. I’m much more confident in Gsellman to get the job done here and get the Mets a victory.

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