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New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants NL Wild Card - 10/5/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Francisco Giants (87-75) at New York Mets (87-75)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, October 5, 2016 at 8:08 pm (Citi Field)

M Bumgarner (15-9) (2.78) vs. N Syndergaard (14-9) (2.60)

The Line: New York Mets -108 / San Francisco Giants -102 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds


The San Francisco Giants make the long trip to the Big Apple to face the New York Mets in the NL Wild Card.

It seems as if seeing San Francisco in the playoffs means winning the World Series but this hasn’t been a typical season. The Giants appeared to be going for the throat when they signed Johnny Cueto and appeared unstoppable when entering the All Star break with the best record in the game but they have been in a slow fade since and were fortunate to make the postseason. The numbers tell the story as a once dangerous offense finished 19th in scoring and hit just 130 homers. Fortunately, SF had some speed with 79 steals which made a .258 BA barely work. The Giants pitching numbers look good with a 3.65 ERA and 85 quality starts but Cueto and Bumgarner are largely responsible. Left hander Madison Bumgarner gets the ball in the NL Wild Card at the Mets Tuesday. On the year, Bumgarner has gone 15-9 in 34 starts with a 1.02 WHIP and 2.74 ERA.

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants NL Wild Card - 10/5/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The New York Mets were the surprise winner of the National League East in 2015 and made it all the way to the World Series and the expectations were high this year but injuries and the Washington Nationals made certain there would not be a second straight NL East crown. The Mets won seven of ten to finish the regular season hot with the arms and bats both contributing. The Mets were a pitching first team as their third ranked 3.58 ERA and 87 quality start say but this staff was no worse then top eight In most categories. The New York offense ranked 26th at 4.14 runs but hit 218 homers to rank 5th but a .245 team average cost the Mets runs and they need to control the scoreboard. Hard throwing Noah Syndergaard draws the start in the Wild Card against visiting San Francisco. Overall, Syndergaard has fashioned a 14-9 record with a 1.15 WHIP and 2.60 ERA.

San Francisco are 9-3 in their last 12 playoff road games and the over is 8-3 in their last 11 playoff games while the under is 18-8-1 in SF last 27 road games. The Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 games following a loss and  are 3-8 in their last 11 Wednesday games while going 15-7 in their last 22 home games.

My take is Bumgarner is the better arm because he has experience and Syndergaard rears back and throws everything hard. That; scares me because I’m backing what I believe is the better team…

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