Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants NLDS Game Two - 10/8/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Francisco Giants (88-75) at Chicago Cubs (103-58-1)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 8:08 pm (Wrigley Field)
J Samardzija (12-11) (3.81) vs. K Hendricks (16-8) (2.08)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -181 / San Francisco Giants +166 --- Over/Under: TBA See the Latest Odds
Coming up on Saturday from historic Wrigley Field, the MLB is bringing us another installment of the Division Series between the San Francisco Giants and the Chicago Cubs.
Game 1 of this set was everything the league advertised. We had a scoreless ballgame early on as the Giants’ Johnny Cueto and the Cubs’ Jon Lester dueled it out. The 0-0 tie was broken in the bottom of the eighth on a solo homer by Chicago’s Javier Baez, and that would be the only run plated by either team. The Cubs jumped out to an early 1-0 series lead with their 1-0 win.
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Taking the mound for the Giants on Saturday will be RHP Jeff Samardzija. In his 32 starts and 12-11 record in the regular season, Samardzija put up a 3.81 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP in 203.1 innings. Samardzija took a tough-luck loss in his most recent outing against the Rockies, going six innings with seven hits and two earned.
San Francisco needs to get those bats going if they want to take this game, but they’ve got the hitters to do it. Buster Posey finished the regular season with 155 hits, 82 runs and 80 RBI. Brandon Crawford managed 152 hits with 67 runs and 84 RBI. Denard Span was able to post 152 hits as well with 70 runs and 53 RBI.
Over on the Cubs’ side, we’ll be seeing RHP Kyle Hendricks on the mound for the start Saturday. Across 31 games, 30 starts and a 16-8 record this season, Hendricks posted a 2.13 ERA with a 0.98 WHIP in 190 innings. Hendricks gave up four earned in five innings on six hits against Cincinnati in his last start.
Chicago is built well in the batter’s box also. Kris Bryant led the team this year with 176 hits, 121 runs, 39 homers and 102 RBI. Anthony Rizzo logged 170 hits with 94 runs, 32 homers and 109 RBI. As for Ben Zobrist, he put up 142 hits with 94 runs and 76 RBI in the regular season.
The Giants are 5-1 in their last six overall, and 7-1 in their last eight Division Series playoff games. San Francisco is also 1-4 in Samardzija’s last five Saturday starts, and 1-5 in Samardzija’s last six starts during game two of a series.
Meanwhile, the Cubs are 45-18 in their last 64 games overall, and 83-34 in their last 117 home games. Chicago is also 6-1 in Hendricks’ last seven starts, and 9-1 in Hendricks’ last 10 Saturday starts.
If the Giants were going to steal a win at Wrigley, Friday night’s matchup was the game to do it. That said, Samardzija was very good down the stretch in the regular season, giving up two earned or fewer in his final three starts. San Francisco ought to get another strong start here, but they’ll be hard-pressed to earn any runs off Hendricks, who gave the Cubs two earned runs or fewer in eight of his final nine starts in the regular season. We should see another low-scoring game here, but I just can’t envision the sluggish Giants offense solving Hendricks. I’ll take Chicago to go 2-0.