Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers ALDS Game Three - 10/9/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Texas Rangers (95-69) at Toronto Blue Jays (92-73)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, October 9, 2016 at 7:38 pm (Rogers Centre)
C Lewis (6-5) (3.71) vs. A Sanchez (15-2) (3.05)
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -200 / Texas Rangers +169 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: TBS, TSN
On Sunday, October 9, the MLB Division Series between the Texas Rangers and the Toronto Blue Jays will start back up, this time from Rogers Centre in Toronto.
The Blue Jays come into this game with a commanding 2-0 lead in the series, following a 10-1 win on Thursday and a 5-3 victory on Friday. Toronto can wrap things up with a victory here and await their challengers in the ALCS.
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Trying to prevent that from happening will be RHP Colby Lewis, starting for the Rangers on Sunday. In his 19 games and 6-5 record this season, Lewis put up a 3.71 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP in 116.1 innings. In his last outing against the Rays, Lewis went 6.1 innings with five hits and four runs (zero earned) for a loss.
The Rangers are going to need some timely hitting from their stars if they want to pull this one out. Elvis Andrus leads the team this postseason with three hits in seven at-bats, bagging one triple and one run. Ian Desmond is 3-for-9 so far in the playoffs, with a double and two RBI.
Carlos Gomez has two hits with an RBI this postseason, but also leads the team with three strikeouts.
Over on the Blue Jays’ side, we’ll be seeing RHP Aaron Sanchez in the start on Sunday. In his 30 starts and 15-2 record this year, Sanchez put up a 3.00 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP in 192 innings. In his most recent start against the Red Sox, Sanchez bagged a win with seven innings, two hits and one earned run.
Toronto has certainly gotten some big hits from their key guys so far. Josh Donaldson leads the team with six hits in the playoffs alongside three runs and two RBI. Troy Tulowitzki has turned in five hits with a run, a triple and five RBI. Jose Bautista also has five RBI with four runs, and has bashed two homers among his three hits.
The Rangers are 7-1 in their last eight Divisional Playoff road games, and 4-1 in their last five games following an off day. Texas is also 1-4 in their last five games following a loss, and 0-4 in their last four against the American League East.
As for the Blue Jays, they’re 4-0 in their last four games following a win, and 5-0 in their last five overall. Toronto is also 4-1 in Sanchez’s last five starts with six days’ rest, and 8-3 in Sanchez’s last 11 home starts.
The Rangers seem to be in real trouble here. To his credit, Lewis pitched pretty well against the Blue Jays this year, posting five runs with a 13:1 K:BB ratio in two starts. That said, Lewis and Texas have also posted losses in his last five straight starts, including two straight-up stinkers of six and seven earned runs. Conversely, Sanchez is 2-0 in his last three starts for Toronto, giving up just one earned run each time. Texas has simply had some bad luck running into a buzzsaw of pitchers in this series, and that will continue on Sunday. I’ll take the Blue Jays for the sweep.