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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians ALCS Game 3 - 10/17/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Cleveland Indians (99-67) at Toronto Blue Jays (93-75)

MLB Baseball: Monday, October 17, 2016 at 8:08 pm (Rogers Centre)

T Bauer (12-8) (4.30) vs. M Stroman (9-10) (4.33)

The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -195 / Cleveland Indians +183 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds


Coming our way in MLB action on Monday from Rogers Centre, the Cleveland Indians and the Toronto Blue Jays will be picking up once again for Game 3 of the American League Championship Series. 

The Indians are up 2-0 in the series so far, and can take a commanding lead here. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 2-0 score, and triumphed in Game 2 with a 2-1 victory. 

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians ALCS Game 3 - 10/17/16 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


Pitching for the Indians on Monday will be RHP Trevor Bauer. In a strange scenario, Bauer was pushed back from Game 2 to Game 3 last week after suffering a lacerated pinky finger while repairing his drone. In 35 games, 28 starts and a 12-8 record in the regular season, Bauer put up a 4.26 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP in 190 innings. 

The Indians have benefited from timely hitting in the playoffs. Lonnie Chisenhall has been the star so far with seven hits in the postseason alongside four RBI and two runs. Francisco Lindor also has seven hit with two homers, four RBI and two runs. Jose Ramirez has put up five hits, a double and four runs so far in the playoffs for Cleveland. 

Over on the Blue Jays’ side, we’ll be seeing RHP Marcus Stroman in the starting role Monday. Stroman last pitched in the Wild Card game, working through six innings and allowing two runs. In the regular season, Stroman pitched 32 starts with a 9-10 record, a 4.37 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP in 204 innings. 

The Blue Jays have been pretty flat recently on the offensive side, but he potential is there. Josh Donaldson leads the team this postseason with 12 hits, five runs and four RBI. Edwin Encarnacion has logged eight hits with five runs, three homers and seven RBI. Troy Tulowitzki has put up seven hit sixth two runs, a triple, a homer and five RBI. 

The Indians are 4-0 in their last four road games, and 8-0 in their last eight overall. Cleveland is also 1-4 in their last five league championship road games, and 4-0 in Bauer’s last four Monday starts. 

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last six playoff home games, and 4-1 in their last five games following an off day. Toronto is also 6-2 in Stroman’s last eight home starts, and 2-5 in Stroman’s last seven starts overall. 

I was pretty high on the Blue Jays coming into this series, provided their high-powered lineup could deliver the goods. One run in two games isn’t exactly productivity, however, and it seems the big Toronto lineup has hit the wall. I don’t think the Jays will do much better against Bauer, as the Indians are 9-3 in his last 12 starts. It’s reasonable to expect another low-scoring, tight Indians win here, even in Toronto.

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