Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Indians - 10/28/16 MLB World Series Game 3 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Indians (102-69) at Chicago Cubs (110-62-1)
MLB Baseball: Friday, October 28, 2016 at 8:08 pm (Wrigley Field)
J Tomlin (15-9) (4.29) vs. K Hendricks (17-9) (2.05)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -194 / Cleveland Indians +177 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
The Cleveland Indians and Chicago Cubs meet Friday night in game 3 of the World Series at Wrigley Field on FOX.
The Cleveland Indians would love to put the pressure back on the Cubs by regaining home field advantage and going up 2-1 in the series. The Indians pitching staff continues to be Cleveland’s calling card, as they’ve allowed a combined five runs in their last three games and two or less runs in five of their last seven games. The Indians have a postseason ERA of 1.82 and have 104 strikeouts in 89 innings of work. Offensively, Francisco Lindor leads Cleveland with 13 hits and four RBI while Jose Ramirez and Lonnie Chisenhall have combined for 17 hits and six RBI. The Cleveland Indians have lost back-to-back games just four times since the month of September. Josh Tomlin gets the ball, and he was 13-9 with a 4.40 ERA and 118 strikeouts this season. Tomlin is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA and 10 strikeouts in his postseason career.
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The Chicago Cubs can take control of this series by winning game 3 in front of their home fans. The Cubs continue to rely on their offense in the postseason, as Chicago has produced five or more runs in eight of their last 11 games and have won 11 of their last 14 games when scoring more than three runs. Javier Baez leads Chicago with 15 hits and seven RBI while Kris Bryant and Dexter Fowler have combined for 26 hits and 10 RBI. The Chicago Cubs have lost just eight home games since the month of August. Pitching wise, the Cubs have an ERA of 3.06 and have 92 strikeouts in 109 innings. Kyle Hendricks takes the hill, and he was 16-8 with a 2.13 ERA and 170 strikeouts this season. Hendricks is 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Indians are 15-5 in Tomlins last 20 road starts and 29-11 in Tomlins last 40 starts overall. The Cubs are 27-11 in Hendricks' last 38 home starts and 16-5 in Hendricks' last 21 starts overall. The Indians are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
There's value with the Indians and the heavy plus money they continue to get, but betting against Hendricks at Wrigley isn't wise. Hendricks has an ERA of 1.32 at home this season and has allowed just three runs and nine hits in his last 16.1 innings. Hendricks has been money all season at home and with the Cubs offense crushing right now, you have to like the home team in this spot.