Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Indians - 10/29/16 MLB Game 4 World Series Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Indians (103-69) at Chicago Cubs (111-63-1)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 29, 2016 at 8:08 pm (Wrigley Field)
C Kluber (21-10) (3.05) vs. J Lackey (11-8) (3.44)
The Line: Chicago Cubs +100 / Cleveland Indians -110 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Cleveland Indians and Chicago Cubs play game 4 of the World Series Saturday night at Wrigley Field on FOX.
The Cleveland Indians look to take full control of this series and move one game within a World Series crown. The Indians pitching staff continues to lead the way, as Cleveland has produced shutouts in three of its last four games and has allowed three or less runs in eight of its 11 postseason games overall. In other words, the Indians have allowed just five runs in their last 36 innings of work. The Cleveland Indians have won 11 straight games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez have combined for 26 hits and six RBI while Lonnie Chisenhall has eight hits and four RBI. Corey Kluber gets the nod, and he was 18-9 with a 3.14 ERA and 227 strikeouts this season. Kluber is 3-1 with a 0.79 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his postseason career.
USA TODAY Sports
The Chicago Cubs probably need this victory if they want a real chance to win the World Series. The Cubs offense continues to be hit or miss, as Chicago has been shutout in four of its last eight games but has scored five or more runs in eight of its last 12 games. The Cubs have to find some sort of consistency in order to help their pitching staff that’s kept them in games for much of the postseason. Javier Baez and Kris Bryant have combined for 29 hits and 13 RBI while Dexter Fowler has 13 hits and four RBI. The good news for the Chicago Cubs is that they have lost back-to-back games just three times since September. John Lackey takes the hill, and he was 11-8 with a 3.35 ERA and 180 strikeouts this season. Lackey is 8-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 106 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Indians are 4-1 in Klubers last 5 road starts and 21-7 in Klubers last 28 starts overall. The Cubs are 6-1 in Lackeys last 7 home starts and 5-0 in Lackeys last 5 starts overall. The over is 4-0-1 in Lackeys last 5 starts overall and the under is 4-0 in Klubers last 4 starts overall.
The Cubs have done a great job of bouncing back when the offense was quiet in the previous game, and they don't lose back-to-back games very often. However, the value in this series continues to be on the Indians. Kluber continues to pitch lights out like much of the Cleveland pitching staff, as he's allowed just two runs in his last 24.1 innings of work and has produced wins in 14 of the last 16 games he's pitched. Lackey hasn't pitched in 10 days and has a ton of postseason experience, so he's worth a look here, but it's tough to bet against Kluber with the way he's pitched the last couple of months, especially in the postseason.
I'll back the Indians here.