Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Indians - 10/30/16 MLB World Series Game 5 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Indians (103-69) at Chicago Cubs (111-63-1)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, October 30, 2016 at 8:15 pm (Wrigley Field)
T Bauer (12-9) (4.30) vs. J Lester (21-6) (2.35)
The Line: Chicago Cubs -210 / Cleveland Indians +192 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Cleveland Indians and Chicago Cubs play game 5 of the World Series Sunday night at Wrigley Field on FOX.
The Cleveland Indians are one victory away from winning their first World Series since the 1948 season. The Indians continue to rely on their pitching staff that’s allowed just two runs in their last two games and three or less runs in nine of their last 11 games. The Indians are simply putting on a pitching performance for the ages and it doesn’t matter who takes the mound. The Cleveland Indians have won 12 straight games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez have combined for 28 hits and seven RBI while Jason Kipnis has 10 hits and seven RBI. Trevor Bauer gets the ball, and he was 12-8 with a 4.26 ERA and 168 strikeouts this season. Bauer is 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA and nine strikeouts in his postseason career.
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The Chicago Cubs need a victory here in order to force a game six Tuesday night. The Cubs offense just can’t find their mojo that got them to the championship series, as Chicago has produced just seven runs in four games and five of those runs came in its game 2 victory. The Cubs have been hit or miss offensively all postseason, but they have just two runs and a combined 12 hits in two games at Wrigley Field. Dexter Fowler and Javier Baez have combined for 30 hits and 12 RBI while Kris Bryant has 14 hits and six RBI. The good news for the Chicago Cubs is that they have not lost three straight games since July 7-9. Jon Lester takes the hill, and he was 19-5 with a 2.44 ERA and 197 strikeouts this season. Lester is 8-7 with a 2.60 ERA and 108 strikeouts in his postseason career.
The Indians are 2-5 in Bauers last 7 Sunday starts and 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts overall. The Cubs are 20-6 in Lesters last 26 home starts and 35-17 in Lesters last 52 starts overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
The Cubs haven't lost three straight games since the beginning of summer and you'd think they'd find a way to prevent Cleveland from celebrating on their home field. However, these odds are downright insane. The Indians pitching staff has been lights out all postseason and the Cubs have yet to figure it out, except for that game two victory. Lester has been sharp all postseason, but he did allow three runs in 5.2 innings against the Indians. We know how good Lester is at Wrigley, but Bauer had a better ERA on the road this season than he did at home.
Look, the Cubs offense has shown it can bounce back, but I'm not laying that juice given what we've seen in four games. The value continues to be on the Cleveland Indians, so that's the side I'm going to continue to back.