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Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals - 7/16/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington Nationals (54-36) at Cincinnati Reds (39-51)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 16, 2017 at 1:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

T Roark (6-6) (5.27) vs. H Bailey (2-2) (8.30)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds +105 / Washington Nationals -114 --- Over/Under: 10 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Ohio, MASN

The Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds meet in game three of their weekend set on Sunday.

The Washington Nationals come into the series finale looking to complete the sweep after a 10-7 win in game two on Saturday gave the Nats their sixth win in their last 8 games. Anthony Rendon had another stellar game, going 3 for 3 with a pair of home runs and six RBIs. Ryan Raburn added a solo homer, while Daniel Murphy went 2 for 4 with a double and a pair of RBIs in addition to Bryce Harper’s run on the board. Stephen Drew and Matt Wieters also chipped in base hits in the win for Washington. Max Scherzer got the win to improve to 11-5 this season after throwing six innings of three hit, shutout baseball while walking four and striking out ten batters. Matt Grace closed the door in the 9th for his 2nd save of the season. Tanner Roark will start game three and is 6-6 with a 5.27 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. In his career, Roark is 1-2 with a 4.37 ERA and 23 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals - 7/16/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds come into this one looking to avoid the sweep after their loss in game two on Saturday. Scooter Gennett led the team with a three run home run in the loss while Patrick Kivlehan, Adam Duvall and Eugenio Suarez each put a run on the board in the losing effort. Billy Hamilton went 3 for 5 with a double while Stuart Turner and Tucker Barnhart each added base hits of their own in defeat. Luis Castillo took the loss after giving up three runs on three hits while walking four and striking out five over 5.2 innings of work. Homer Bailey will start game three and Cincinnati and is 2-2 with an 8.31 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bailey is 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Washington.

Washington is 0-5 in Roark’s last 5 starts and 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a losing record while the under is 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games. Cincinnati is 3-7 in Bailey’s last 10 starts against a team with a winning record and 7-3 in their last 10 home games against a right-handed starter while the under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games overall. Washington is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

At first I wondered why the line was so low and leaned Washington, especially after how Bailey was lit up for eight earned in just 1.2 innings against Washington earlier this season. But that was Bailey’s first start in a year, What’s Roark’s excuse for his poor performances this season? Roark gave up six runs of his own against Cincinnati this season, and the Reds in my opinion have all the momentum despite falling short of the comeback on Saturday, after scoring seven runs in the last two innings of game two. The safer bet is probably the over, but I’ll take a shot with Cincinnati and the plus money.

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