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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 7/17/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Toronto Blue Jays (42-49) at Boston Red Sox (51-41)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 17, 2017 at 7:08 pm (Fenway Park)

M Stroman (9-5) (3.28) vs. Eduardo Rodriguez (4-2) (3.54)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -125 / Toronto Blue Jays +115 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN, NESN, RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox square off on Monday at Fenway Park to kick off a crucial four game AL East division set.

The Toronto Blue Jays will be looking to bounce back after dropping back-to-back games to close out their series against Detroit, including a 6-5 extra innings loss on Sunday. All of Toronto’s damage on the board was done via the home run ball, with Jose Bautista and Justin Smoak belting out two run shots while Kendrys Morales added a solo homer. Smoak’s bomb was his team-leading 24th dinger of the season, while Josh Donaldson, Steve Pearce, Troy Tulowitzki, Kevin Pillar and Ryan Goins all contributed base hits to the cause in the loss. Marco Estrada gave up four runs on five hits while walking four and striking out five over just 3.2 innings of work, not factoring in the decision. Danny Barnes gave up the game-tying run for his 2nd blown save of the year, while Jeff Beliveau was responsible for the runner that crossed the plate on a bases loaded walk in the 11th, taking the loss to fall to 1-1 this season. Marcus Stroman will start game one and is 9-5 with a 3.28 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. In his career, Stroman is 4-2 with a 5.07 ERA and 41 strikeouts against Boston.

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 7/17/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox will look to build on a series ending doubleheader split with the New York Yankees on Sunday, culminating in a 3-0 shutout win on Sunday Night Baseball. Mookie Betts led the way, going 3 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs while Dustin Pedroia went 2 for 4 with an RBI of his own in the win. Jackie Bradley Jr. logged his 15th double of the year, while Mitch Moreland and Christian Vazquez also added base knocks in the win for the Red Sox. David Price looked like the David Price the Red Sox thought they would get when they signed him to that big contract last season, throwing eight innings of seven hit, shutout baseball, striking out eight in the process to improve to 5-2 this season. Craig Kimbrel struck out a pair in a scoreless 9th inning for his 24th save of the year. Eduardo Rodriguez will start game one and is 4-2 with a 3.54 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his career, Rodriguez is 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA and 21 strikeouts against Toronto.

Toronto is 9-3 in Stroman’s last 12 starts and 2-5 in their last 7 division matchups while the over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games overall. Boston is 15-7 in their last 22 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 against a team with a losing record while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 games against a right-handed starter. Toronto is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Boston.

As frustrating as the Blue Jays are to back sometimes, they do have some solid talent like Stroman, who is the team’s ace right now, like it or not. He’s the only Jays pitcher with a record above .500 right now, and has had success against the Red Sox in his career. The same can’t necessarily be said for Rodriguez however, and he’s making his first start in a month and a half. Sure, Boston doesn’t have to travel after their late finish last night, but this feels like a letdown spot for Boston so I’ll take a shot at the Blue Jays with the plus money.

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