Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers - 7/17/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Detroit Tigers (41-49) at Kansas City Royals (45-45)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 17, 2017 at 8:15 pm (Royals Stadium)
J Zimmermann (5-7) (5.87) vs. J Vargas (12-3) (2.62)
The Line: Kansas City Royals -151 / Detroit Tigers +141 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSDT, FSKC
The Detroit Tigers and Kansas City Royals meet Monday in MLB action at Kauffman Stadium.
The Detroit Tigers could use another win after splitting their last 14 games. The Tigers have scored 17 runs in their last two games and four or more runs in nine of their last 13 games. The Detroit Tigers have won nine of their last 11 games when scoring more than two runs. Nicholas Castellanos leads the Tigers with 82 hits and 47 RBI while Justin Upton and Miguel Cabrera have combined for 158 hits and 100 RBI. Jordan Zimmermann gets the ball, and he is 5-7 with a 5.87 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. Zimmermann is 2-0 with a 1.44 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Royals.
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The Kansas City Royals could use a win here after losing five of their last six games. The Royals have scored seven runs in their last three games and four or more runs in eight of their last 13 games. The Kansas City Royals have won 20 of their last 22 games when scoring more than three runs. Eric Hosmer leads the Royals with 107 hits and 42 RBI while Lorenzo Cain and Mike Moustakas have combined for 175 hits and 85 RBI. Jason Vargas gets the ball, and he is 12-3 with a 2.62 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Vargas is 3-4 with a 5.37 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his career against the Tigers.
The Tigers are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League Central, 1-9 in Zimmermanns last 10 road starts and 1-5 in Zimmermanns last 6 starts. The Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 19-7 in Vargas' last 26 home starts and 21-6 in Vargas' last 27 starts. The Royals are 1-4 in Vargas' last 5 starts vs. Tigers and the over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
Zimmermann has been getting tagged left and right much of this season, and he's given up 15 earned runs in his last 12.2 innings. Zimmermann has an ERA of seven on the road and 9.35 in the month of July. For the most part, Vargas has been Cy Young worthy, which includes an ERA of 1.84 at home, and the Royals don't lose often when he's on the mound. I have to side with the Royals in this contest given the pitching advantage.