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Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners - 7/19/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Seattle Mariners (47-48) at Houston Astros (63-31)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 19, 2017 at 2:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

J Paxton (8-3) (3.20) vs. C Morton (7-3) (4.06)

The Line: Houston Astros -115 / Seattle Mariners +105 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: ROOT-Northwest

The Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros duke it out in the rubber match of their three game division set at Minute Maid Park on Wednesday.

The Seattle Mariners will look to rebound after having a five game winning streak snapped thanks to a 6-2 loss against the Astros on Tuesday. Ben Gamel and Jarrod Dyson each added an RBI in the loss while Kyle Seager went 1 for 4 with a double. Robinson Cano, Carlos Ruiz and Guillermo Heredia each contributed a base hit for Seattle in the losing effort. Sam Gaviglio gave up five runs on eight hits while walking a pair and striking out three over six innings of work, taking the loss to fall to 3-5 this season. James Paxton will start game three and is 8-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season. In his career, Paxton is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA and 36 strikeouts against Houston.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners - 7/19/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros will look to take the series after their win in game two on Tuesday. Evan Gattis led the team with a pair of solo home runs while George Springer, Jose Altuve, Yuli Gurriel and Nori Aoki added RBIs of their own in the win, with Springer and Aoki each adding a double as well. Josh Reddick added a two-bagger of his own while Marwin Gonzalez and Alex Bregman added base knocks of their own in the win for Houston. Brad Peacock gave up just one run on three hits while striking out eight over 6.2 innings of work to improve to 8-1 this season. Charlie Morton will get the nod in the series finale and is 7-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. In his career, Morton is 0-1 with a 4.09 ERA and 10 strikeouts against Seattle.

Seattle is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 in Paxton’s last 5 starts while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a right-handed starter. Houston is 6-2 in Morton’s last 8 starts and 58-27 in their last 85 games overall while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starter.

Normally I’d be all over a price like this on Houston. However, Paxton appears to be back to normal, and hasn’t given up a run in his two starts covering 13 combined innings against the Astros this season. Granted it was in April when everyone is getting up and running, but that’s still an interesting trend making the plus money worth a serious look here and that’s where I’ll lean. 

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