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New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7/20/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

St. Louis Cardinals (46-47) at New York Mets (41-50)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 20, 2017 at 12:10 pm (Citi Field)

L Lynn (8-6) (3.40) vs. Seth Lugo (4-2) (4.50)

The Line: New York Mets -105 / St. Louis Cardinals -105 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Midwest, SNY

The St. Louis Cardinals and the New York Mets face off in the series finale of their four game set from Citi Field on Thursday.

The St. Louis Cardinals will look to take the series, despite dropping game three by a final score of 7-3 on Wednesday. Magneuris Sierra led the team going 3 for 4 with a pair of RBIs while Luke Volt went 1 for 3 with a double and an RBI. Tommy Pham, Jedd Gyorko, Yadier Molina, Kolten Wong and even starting pitcher Mike Leake added base hits in the losing effort for the Cards. Speaking of Leake, he took the loss after giving up all seven runs, four earned, on ten hits over just two innings of work to fall to 6-8 this season. Lance Lynn will start the series finale and is 8-6 with a 3.40 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lynn is 3-3 with a 2.45 ERA and 35 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 7/20/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets will look to salvage a series split with the Cardinals after their win in game three on Wednesday. Yoenis Cespedes went 2 for 4 with a double and two RBIs while Jose Reyes added a pair of RBIs as well. Lucas Duda, Jay Bruce and Wilmer Flores each chipped in RBIs of their own while Travis D’Arnaud went 2 for 4 with a double and Michael Conforto along with Asdrubal Cabrera chipped in a base knock for New York. Jacob DeGrom got his seventh straight win, improving to 11-5 this season after giving up just one run on seven hits while striking out three over 6.2 innings of work. Addison Reed threw 1.1 innings of relief with a pair of strikeouts for his 16th save of the season. Seth Lugo will start game four and is 4-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. In his career, Lugo is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 8 strikeouts against St. Louis.

St. Louis is 20-6 in their last 26 games against the NL East and 5-2 in their last 7 games overall while the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 road games. New York is 11-2 in Lugo’s last 13 starts and 1-4 in their last 5 games against the AL Central while the over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games overall. St. Louis is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

It was easy to go with the Mets on Wednesday as the pitching matchup outweighed the team advantage, but in the series finale, we are getting the better team with a slight pitching advantage. Lynn hasn’t given up a run in his last two starts and should give the Cardinals enough to lead the Mets to a win here.

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