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Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins - 7/21/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (42-51) at Cincinnati Reds (40-55)

MLB Baseball: Friday, July 21, 2017 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

J Urena (7-4) (3.93) vs. H Bailey (2-3) (10.12)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -116 / Miami Marlins +106 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Florida, FS-Ohio

The Miami Marlins and the Cincinnati Reds square off in game one of their three game set on Friday.

The Miami Marlins will look to turn things around after losing five of six to start the second half of the season following a 10-3 loss in their series finale against Philadelphia on Wednesday. Giancarlo Stanton logged his 30th home run to tie Aaron Judge for the league lead, while Christian Yelich also added a solo shot. Marcell Ozuna, Justin Bour, Derek Dietrich, A.J. Ellis and Miguel Rojas all added base hits of their own in the losing effort for the Fish. Dan Straily took the loss to fall to 7-5 this season after giving up four runs on nine hits while walking three and striking out seven over five innings of work. Jose Urena will start game one and is 7-4 with a 3.93 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season. In his career, Urena is 0-1 with a 7.50 ERA and 5 strikeouts against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins - 7/21/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will also be looking to turn things around after dropping six of their last seven following the all-star break after a 12-2 thumping at the hands of Arizona in their series finale on Thursday. Eugenio Suarez hit a pair of solo homers, making up both Cincinnati runs in the loss. Billy Hamilton went 1 for 4 with a double while Joey Votto, Adam Duvall, Scooter Gennett, Jose Peraza and even starting pitcher Luis Castillo added base hits in the loss for the Reds. Speaking of Castillo, he gave up four runs on four his while striking out seven over six innings of work, taking the loss to fall to 1-3 this season. Homer Bailey will start game one and is 2-3 with a 10.12 ERA and 17 strikeouts this season. In his career, Bailey is 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 48 strikeouts against Miami.

Miami is 5-1 in Urena’s last 6 road starts and 5-1 in their last 6 road games while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a right-handed starter. Cincinnati is 2-5 in Bailey’s last 7 starts and 1-7 in their last 8 home games while the over is 5-2 in Bailey’s last 7 starts overall. Miami is 10-25 in the last 35 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati.

Just when I thought Bailey had gotten things straightened out after back-to-back one earned starts following his disastrous first two starts allowing 14 runs in 4.2 innings of work, he implodes and gives up eight runs in four innings. Granted that was against a strong offensive team in Washington, but the Marlins have some pop in their bats as well, including Giancarlo Stanton who is tied for the major league lead in homers (no pun intended). Not to mention we are getting what I feel is the better pitcher in Urena for plus money, so I’ll go with Miami to draw first blood here.

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