Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles - 7/26/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Baltimore Orioles (48-52) at Tampa Bay Rays (52-49)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 26, 2017 at 12:10 pm (Tropicana Field)
U Jimenez (4-6) (7.19) vs. A Cobb (8-6) (3.57)
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -135 / Baltimore Orioles +122 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays face off in the rubber match of their three game set at Tropicana Field on Wednesday afternoon.
The Baltimore Orioles will look to take the series after dropping game two by a final score of 5-4 on Tuesday to even up the set at one win apiece. Welington Castillo led the team with two RBIs while going 2 for 4 at the dish. Trey Mancini went 2 for 3 with a solo home run and Manny Machado went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI in the loss. Adam Jones went 2 for 5 while Jonathan Schoop and Joey Rickard each added a base hit in the losing effort for the O’s. Wade Miley took the loss, falling to 4-9 this season after giving up all five runs on five hits while walking three and striking out four over six innings of work. Ubaldo Jimenez will start game three and is 4-6 with a 7.19 ERA and 79 strikeouts this season. In his career, Jimenez is 5-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 54 strikeouts against Tampa Bay.
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The Tampa Bay Rays will look to build off of their game two win to take the series on Wednesday, after snapping a five game losing streak with Tuesday’s win. Tim Beckham led the charge in the Rays’ five-run 2nd inning, hitting a three run home run. Mallex Smith and Jesus Sucre each added RBIs in the win while Evan Longoria chipped in a double. Steven Souza Jr., Brad Miller and Adeiny Hechavarria also contributed base hits in the win for the Rays. Jacob Faria got the win to improve to 5-1 this season after giving up three runs on seven hits while walking a pair and striking out five over 7.1 innings of work. Alex Colome threw a scoreless 9th inning for his 29th save of the year. Alex Cobb will start game three and is 8-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cobb is 4-2 with a 2.69 ERA and 57 strikeouts against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 9-23 in their last 32 road games and 6-2 in their last 8 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay is 2-5 in their last 7 division starts and 1-5 in their last 6 games overall while the over is 12-3 in their last 15 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 3-0-1 in Jimenez’s last 4 starts against Tampa Bay.
I have made it known that I don’t trust Jimenez as far as I can throw him, and his last start against Tampa Bay just proves that. Going just 2.1 innings and giving up nine runs won’t instill much confidence, just like giving up 21 runs over your last 19 innings which is exactly what Jimenez has done. Cobb didn’t do much better in his last start against Baltimore, giving up seven runs in 6.1 innings, but he has an ERA under three at home as opposed to Jimenez’s ERA over six on the road, and these quick turnaround day games usually favour the home team so I’ll take Tampa Bay here.