Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers - 7/26/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers (53-48) at Washington Nationals (59-38)
MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 26, 2017 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)
J Nelson (8-5) (3.51) vs. G Gonzalez (8-5) (2.83)
The Line: Washington Nationals -125 / Milwaukee Brewers +115 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Washington Nationals meet on Wednesday in game two of their three game set.
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to build off of their game one 8-0 shutout win over the Nats on Tuesday. Travis Shaw led the team with three RBIs, going 2 for 3 with a home run. Eric Thames and Manny Pina each added solo homers while Ryan Braun, Domingo Santana and starting pitcher Zach Davies all added RBIs in the win. Brett Phillips and Orlando Arcia each added base hits of their own in the winning effort for the Brew Crew. Speaking of Davies, he got his team-leading 12th win of the season after throwing 7.2 innings of three hit, shutout baseball, walking three and striking out seven for the victory. Jimmy Nelson will start game two and is 8-5 with a 3.43 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nelson is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 8 strikeouts against Washington.
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The Washington Nationals will try to even up the series after being shut out in the series opener on Tuesday. Bryce Harper, Daniel Murphy and Anthony Rendon each put up a double, while Ryan Zimmerman and Adam Lind chipped in base knocks of their own, wish the Nats putting up just five hits as a team in the loss. Edwin Jackson took the loss, evening his record at 1-1 this season after giving up seven runs, three earned, on seven hiting while walking and striking out three apiece. Gio Gonzalez will start game two and is 8-5 with a 2.83 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. In his career, Gonzalez is 2-3 with a 4.95 ERA and 33 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 2-7 in their last 9 games overall and 7-16 in Nelson’s last 23 starts against a team with a winning record while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 road games. Washington is 0-5 in Gonzalez’s last 5 home starts and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while the under is 8-2 in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams.
Even though the over has dominated between these two, I’m going to side with the under as Gonzalez has an ERA under two at home andshould be able to get back on track against a Brewers offense that has slowed down as of late. Sure Milwaukee is still capable of drilling the ball as we saw on Tuesday, but they’re still averaging just 3.6 runs over their last 10 games, so I think the under should hit on Wednesday.