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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 7/28/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Atlanta Braves (48-52) at Philadelphia Phillies (35-64)

MLB Baseball: Friday, July 28, 2017 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

J Teheran (7-8) (4.75) vs. J Hellickson (6-5) (4.73)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +102 / Atlanta Braves -112 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-South

We have an AL East division set kicking off on Friday as the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves in game one.

The Atlanta Braves will look to turn things around after dropping four of their last five games, including a 10-3 loss in their series finale against Arizona, dropping the series to the D-Backs in the process. Brandon Phillips, Matt Kemp and Nick Markakis accounted for the three Atlanta runs in the loss, while Freddie Freeman, Tyler Flowers and Dansby Swanson each logged a double. Ender Inciarte, Sean Rodriguez and even starting pitcher Aaron Blair added base hits of their own in the losing effort for Atlanta. Speaking of Blair, he dropped his regular season debut, falling to 0-1 this year after giving up five runs on five hits while walking five and striking out three over three innings of work. Julio Teheran will start game one and is 7-8 with a 4.67 ERA and 86 strikeouts this season. In his career, Teheran is 7-4 with a 2.79 ERA and 72 strikeouts against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves - 7/28/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies will be looking to build on their 9-0 victory over the Astros in the series finale on Wednesday, salvaging a win after dropping the first two games of the series. Cameron Rupp led the way with a pair of homers and four RBIs while Maikel Franco went 2 for 5 with a home run of his own in addition to a double and two RBIs of his own. Tommy Joseph went 3 for 4 with a pair of doubles and two RBIs while Nick Williams added an RBI of his own in the win for the Phils. Aaron Altherr went 2 for 5 with a triple while Cesar Hernandez went 2 for 4 with a double and Cameron Perkins added a pinch-hit double of his own. Aaron Nola got the win to improve to 8-6 this season, throwing six innings of four hit, shutout baseball, striking out ten in the win. Jeremy Hellickson will start game one and is 6-5 with a 4.73 ERA and 65 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hellickson is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 7-1 in Teheran’s last 8 road starts and 1-4 in their last 5 games overall while the over is 6-0 in their last 6 road games against a right-handed starter. Philadelphia is 1-7 in Hellickson’s last 8 starts and 6-13 in their last 19 home games while the under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games against a team with a losing record. Atlanta is 5-0 in Teheran’s last 5 road starts against Philadelphia.

Even though Philadelphia’s win over Houston on Wednesday was impressive, the Phils don’t seem to do much else on a regular basis when Nola isn’t starting. Philly has lost seven on Hellickson’s last eight starts while the Braves have won seven of Teheran’s last eight starts on the road. Not to mention that the Braves have been money when Teheran toes the mound against Philadelphia, so I’ll take the Braves here. 

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