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San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/29/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Pittsburgh Pirates (50-53) at San Diego Padres (46-57)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 29, 2017 at 8:40 pm (PETCO Park)

I Nova (10-7) (3.62) vs. Dinelson Lamet (4-4) (5.92)

The Line: San Diego Padres +112 / Pittsburgh Pirates -122 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSSD, ATPT

The Pittsburgh Pirates and San Diego Padres meet Saturday in MLB action at Petco Park.

The Pittsburgh Pirates could use a win here after losing five of their last six games. The Pirates have allowed 16 runs in their last three games and five or more runs in four of their last seven games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost five of their last nine games when allowing at least three runs. Offensively, Josh Harrison leads the Pirates with 106 hits and 33 RBI while Andrew McCutchen and Jordy Mercer have combined for 194 hits and 106 RBI. Ivan Nova gets the ball, and he is 10-7 with a 3.62 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Nova is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Padres. 

San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/29/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres look for another victory after winning six of their last nine games. The Padres have scored 16 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 12 games. The San Diego Padres have split their last 12 games when scoring at least three runs. Wil Myers leads the Padres with 93 hits and 49 RBI while Hunter Renfroe and Manuel Margot have combined for 157 hits and 66 RBI. Dinelson Lamet gets the ball, and he is 4-4 with a 5.92 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. This will be Lamet’s first career game against the Pirates.

The Pirates are 9-4 in their last 13 Saturday games, 1-4 in Novas last 5 road starts and 5-0 in Novas last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. The Padres are 6-13 in their last 19 Saturday games, 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 in Lamets last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings in San Diego.

Nova is coming off a performance in which he got rocked by the Rockies, but he's had a good season overall and the Pirates have won five of his last eight starts. Lamet has had his fair share of struggles this season and allowed 16 fly balls in 6.2 innings against the Giants in his last game. While I've been backing the Padres a lot in the second half because of their offense, the Pirates have the edge here due to the pitching matchup. 

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