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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs - 7/30/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Chicago Cubs (55-48) at Milwaukee Brewers (55-51)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 30, 2017 at 2:10 pm (Miller Park)

J Lackey (7-9) (4.97) vs. Zach Davies (12-4) (4.45)

The Line: Milwaukee Brewers +115 / Chicago Cubs -125 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSCh, FSWI

The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB action at Miller Park.

The Chicago Cubs look to stay hot after winning 10 of their last 13 games. The Cubs have scored nine runs in their last three games and four or more runs in 10 of their last 14 games. The Chicago Cubs have won six straight games when scoring more than one run. Kris Bryant leads the Cubs with 97 hits and 44 RBI while Anthony Rizzo and Willson Contreras have combined for 177 hits and 123 RBI. John Lackey gets the ball, and he is 7-9 with a 4.97 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. Lackey is 5-3 with a 3.49 ERA and 66 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.  

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs - 7/30/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers could use a win here after losing 10 of their last 13 games. The Brewers have allowed 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last nine games. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 10 of their last 11 games when allowing more than one run. Offensively, Travis Shaw leads the Brewers with 104 hits and 74 RBI while Domingo Santana and Orlando Arcia have combined for 196 hits and 91 RBI. Zach Davies gets the ball, and he is 12-4 with a 4.45 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. Davies is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Cubs.

The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series, 6-2 in their last 8 Sunday games and 0-5 in Lackeys last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. The Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series, 6-2 in Davies' last 8 home starts and 5-1 in Davies' last 6 starts. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

The Brewers have hung with the Cubs in this series with both games coming down to the wire, and now they're throwing out a pitcher in Davies who has produced wins in eight of his last 10 starts. Lackey has been hit this season and has an ERA over five on the road. I just don't see value in backing Lackey and the juice, especially against a Brewers team that's shown they can play with the best and are due for a victory to counter these recent struggles. Give me the plus money.

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