San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 7/30/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pittsburgh Pirates (50-54) at San Diego Padres (47-57)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, July 30, 2017 at 4:40 pm (PETCO Park)
G Cole (8-7) (4.12) vs. C Richard (5-11) (5.37)
The Line: San Diego Padres +145 / Pittsburgh Pirates -182 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FS-San Diego
The Pittsburgh Pirates and the San Diego Padres hook up at Petco Park for the series finale of their three game set on Sunday.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will be looking to avoid the sweep after a 4-2 loss in game two on Saturday gave the Buccos their sixth loss in their last seven games. David Freese went 2 for 4 with an RBI, while Adam Frazier matched that mark at the plate and Starling Marte added a base knock of his own as the Pirates mustered up just five hits as a team in the loss. Ivan Nova gave up all four runs on eight hits while striking out six over five innings of work, taking the loss to fall to 10-8 this season. Gerrit Cole will start the finale and is 8-7 with a 4.12 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. In his career, Cole is 3-1 with a 1.52 ERA and 30 strikeouts against San Diego.
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The San Diego Padres will be looking to finish off their three game set with Pittsburgh unbeaten after winning game two on Saturday, giving the Padres their fourth straight win. Manuel Margot went 2 for 4 with a solo home run while Jose Pirela added an RBI of his own while going 2 for 4 with a pair of triples. Hector Sanchez and Hunter Renfroe each added an RBI and a double while Cory Spangenberg went 2 for 3 at the plate in the win. Dinelson Lamet got the win, giving up both runs on a pair of hits while walking two and striking out seven over six innings of work to improve to 5-4 this season. Clayton Richard will start game three for San Diego and is 5-11 with a 5.37 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. In his career, Richard is 2-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 20 strikeouts against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh is 5-0 in Cole’s last 5 road starts and 2-8 in their last 10 road games against a left-handed starter while the under is 14-2 in their last 16 games following a loss. San Diego is 1-6 in Richard’s last 7 starts and 10-4 in their last 14 against the NL Central while the over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 home games. Pittsburgh is 1-5 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in San Diego.
My first instinct was to go with San Diego with how well they’ve played during their winning streak. The problem is that Richard can’t keep runs off of the board, giving up 20 runs, 19 earned, and 37 hits over his last three starts, totalling 17.1 innings of work. Cole has been one of the more reliable arms in the Pirates’ rotation, so if I had to pick I’d take Pittsburgh to salvage something from this series but I’d probably stay away from this one.