Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians - 7/31/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Cleveland Indians (57-45) at Boston Red Sox (57-48)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 31, 2017 at 7:08 pm (Fenway Park)
Mike Clevinger (5-3) (3.20) vs. Doug Fister (0-5) (7.46)
The Line: Boston Red Sox +120 / Cleveland Indians -130 --- Over/Under: 10.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ESPN, STOH, NESN
Out at historic Fenway Park on Monday, the Cleveland Indians and the Boston Red Sox will be kicking off their three-game set.
The Indians are coming off a series against the White Sox. Cleveland won the first two 9-3 and 5-4, then on Sunday the Indians lost on a walk-off homer 3-1.
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For the Monday game, the Indians are bringing out RHP Mike Clevinger. In his 70.1 innings and 5-3 record this year, Clevinger has a 3.20 ERA with 78 Ks and 35 BBs.
The Indians have some interesting bats in their lineup. Coming out of the week, Jose Ramirez had 124 hits, 71 runs, 18 homers and 55 RBI, while Francisco Lindor had 111 hits, 57 runs, 15 homers and 48 RBI. On Sunday, Lindor ripped a solo homer; Ramirez had two hits.
As for the Red Sox, they just finished up against the Royals. The two teams split the first pair of games, then on Sunday Boston allowed four runs in the eighth inning on the way to a 5-3 loss.
Boston will be rolling with RHP Doug Fister on Monday. In his 25.1 innings and 0-5 record this year, Fister has a 7.46 ERA with 21 Ks.
Boston has some big bats as well. Mookie Betts came out of the week with 113 hits, 70 runs, 17 homers and 63 RBI, while Xander Bogaerts had 105 hits, 53 runs and 43 RBI. On Sunday, Bogaerts and Betts combined for two hits and a run.
The Indians are 5-0 in their last five during game one of a series, and 5-0 in their last five Monday games. Cleveland is also 5-2 in Clevinger’s last seven road starts, and 1-4 in Clevinger’s last five starts in game one of a series.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox are 2-6 in their last eight overall, and 9-4 in their last 13 home games versus a team with a winning record. Boston is also 14-6 in the last 20 home games versus a right-handed starter, and the under is 18-7-2 in the Sox’ last 27 Monday games.
After a smooth four starts where he allowed just two earned in 24.0 innings, Clevinger stumbled in his last outing versus the Angels with five earned on nine hits in 4.1 innings. As for Fister, he’s really only in the rotation due to David Price’s injury. I don’t trust Fister to do much of anything here, so I’ll take the Indians for the opener win.