Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays - 7/31/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Toronto Blue Jays (48-56) at Chicago White Sox (39-62)
MLB Baseball: Monday, July 31, 2017 at 8:10 pm (Guaranteed Rate Field)
M Estrada (4-7) (5.43) vs. J Shields (2-3) (5.86)
The Line: Chicago White Sox +160 / Toronto Blue Jays -170 --- Over/Under: 10.5 See the Latest Odds
Up at Guaranteed Rate Field on Monday, the Toronto Blue Jays and the Chicago White Sox will be kicking off their MLB series.
The Blue Jays are fresh off a set against the Angels. Toronto dropped the first two games 7-2 and 6-5, then on Sunday the Jays eked out an 11-10 win.
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On Monday, the Jays will be rolling out RHP Marco Estrada. In his 114.1 innings and 4-7 record this year, Estrada has a 5.43 ERA with 122 Ks and 50 BBs.
Toronto has some key hitters this year. Coming out of the week, Justin Smoak brought 107 hits, 60 runs, 29 homers and 69 RBI, while Kevin Pillar had 95 hits with 48 runs, 11 homers and 23 RBI. Pillar ripped a two-run homer on Sunday; Smoak had a hit, a run and an RBI.
As for the White Sox, they just finished up against the Indians. Chicago lost 9-3 and 5-4 in the first two games, then on Sunday Matt Davidson ripped a walk-off homer for a 3-1 win.
Chicago will be going with RHP James Shields on Monday. In his 50.2 innings and 2-3 record this year, Shields has a 5.86 ERA with 38 Ks.
Chicago has some big bats as well. Jose Abreu came out of the week with 117 hits, 58 runs, 19 homers and 66 RBI, while Avisail Garcia had 103 hits, 46 runs and 54 RBI. Abreu logged one hit on Sunday; Garcia is currently on the 10-day DL.
The Blue Jays are 5-11 in their last 16 during game one of a series, and 4-1 in Estrada’s last five Monday starts. Toronto is also 3-7 in Estrada’s last 10 starts, and 1-4 in Estrada’s last five starts in game one of a series.
Meanwhile, the White Sox are 4-1 in their last five Monday games, and 1-5 in their last six during game one of a series. The over is 9-4 in the Sox’ last 13 during game one of a series, and the under is 3-1-1 in the Sox’ last five games versus a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Estrada had a rough string of starts this month, with 17 earned over three outings. He bounced back with two earned on three hits in 5.0 innings against the A’s, though. As for Shields, he’s got a 7.94 ERA with a .405 OBP allowed over his last 34.0 innings. Neither pitcher is really trustworthy right now, so I’m going with the over and a high-scoring Sox win.