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Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - 8/1/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

New York Mets (48-55) at Colorado Rockies (60-46)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, August 1, 2017 at 8:40 pm (Coors Field)

Steven Matz (2-4) (5.51) vs. Jeff Hoffman (6-3) (5.58)

The Line: Colorado Rockies -150 / New York Mets +135 --- Over/Under: 12.5 See the Latest Odds


The New York Mets and the Colorado Rockies will meet in game one of their three game set at Coors Field on Tuesday.

The New York Mets will look to bounce back after dropping four of their last five games following a 9-1 rout at the hands of the Mariners in their series finale on Sunday. Matt Reynolds went 1 for 4, putting up the lone Mets run in the loss. Wilmer Flores went 2 for 4 while Michael Conforto, Jose Reyes, Yoenis Cespedes, Jay Bruce, Curtis Granderson and Travis D’Arnaud each put up a base hit, however none of the Mets’ nine hits went for extra bases in the losing effort. Seth Lugo took the loss, falling to 5-3 this season after giving up five runs on eight hits while striking out five over five innings of work. Steven Matz will start game one and is 2-4 with a 5.51 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. In his career, Matz is 0-2 with an 11.57 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Colorado.

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Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets - 8/1/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction


The Colorado Rockies will look to rebound after failing to complete the sweep of the Nationals, falling 3-1 in the series finale on Sunday. Gerardo Parra went 1 for 4 with Colorado’s lone RBI in the loss, while Nolan Arenado went 1 for 4 with a double. Alexi Amarista and Charlie Blackmon also added base hits as Colorado put up just four base hits as a team in the loss. Jon Gray took the loss, falling to 3-2 this season after giving up all three runs on four hits while striking out eight over seven innings of work. Jeff Hoffman will start the series opener and is 6-3 with a 5.58 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. In his career, Hoffman is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA and 3 strikeouts against the Mets.

New York is 4-8 in their last 12 road games and 1-4 in their last 5 games overall while the over is 13-1 in their last 14 games against the NL West. Colorado is 6-1 in their last 7 home games and 5-1 in their last 6 games against a left-handed starter while the over is 20-7-1 in their last 28 against the NL East. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

My initial instinct was to go Colorado, with the way the ball flies out of the park and seeing that Lugo has given up 16 earned in his three starts since the all-star break, covering just nine innings of work. Then I saw that Hoffman hasn’t been much better, giving up 13 over his last two starts covering just seven innings of work. One trend that’s been consistent in this matchup is the over, hitting in the last five meetings and hitting in a combined 33 of 42 matchups between the two against the opposing division, so I’ll take the over here in what should be a high-scoring game right out of the gate.

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