Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals - 8/1/17 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals (51-53) at Milwaukee Brewers (55-52)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, August 1, 2017 at 7:40 pm (Miller Park)
C Martinez (7-8) (3.52) vs. J Nelson (8-5) (3.45)
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -113 / St. Louis Cardinals +103 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
The St. Louis Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers face off in an NL Central showdown on Tuesday in game one of their three game division set.
The St. Louis Cardinals will look to maintain their momentum after winning five of their last seven games, including a 3-2 win over Arizona in their series finale on Sunday, salvaging a series split with the D-Backs. Jose Martinez was the Cards’ MVP in the win, going 2 for 3 with a home run and accounting for all three St. Louis runs in the win. Matt Carpenter went 1 for 3 with a double while Yadier Molina added a pair of base hits and Kolten Wong chipped in a base knock of his own, as St. Louis put up just six hits as a team in the win. Lance Lynn improved to 9-6 this season, giving up both runs on four hits while walking five and striking out three over six innings of work. The bullpen held things down the rest of the way, culminating in Trevor Rosenthal striking out the side in the 9th for hits 6th save of the year. Carlos Martinez will start game one and is 7-8 with a 3.52 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. In his career, Martinez is 5-2 with a 1.75 ERA and 77 strikeouts against Milwaukee.
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The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to bounce back after dropping crucial back-to-back games to close out their series with the Cubs, including a 4-2 loss in the series finale on Sunday. Domingo Santana’s two run homer was all the scoring the Brew Crew would do in the loss. Eric Thames, Ryan Braun, Travis Shaw, Orlando Arcia and Manny Pina each put in a base hit of their own in the losing effort for Milwaukee. Zach Davies took the loss, giving up three runs on seven hits while striking out six over seven innings of work, falling to 12-5 when all was said and done. Jimmy Nelson will start game one and is 8-5 with a 3.38 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. In his career, Nelson is 0-8 with a 7.01 ERA and 41 strikeouts against St. Louis.
St. Louis is 8-20 in their last 28 division matchups and 1-4 in their last 5 road games while the under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games overall. Milwaukee is 10-4 in their last 14 home games and 7-3 in Nelson's last 10 starts while the under is 7-0 in their last 7 division matchups. Milwaukee is 3-7 in Nelson's last 10 starts against St. Louis.
You do see Nelson’s record against the Cardinals right?? Yeah… No thanks. Martinez hasn’t been his normal shutdown self this season, but he is still a staff ace and has an ERA under two against the Brewers in his career. Nelson has played well lately, but has had literally zero success against St. Louis in his career. The value is all on St. Louis on Tuesday, which is why I’m taking the Cardinals.